Prognostic value of 18 F-FDG PET/CT in patients with limited-stage small cell lung cancer / 中华核医学与分子影像杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective To investigated the prognostic value of 18 F-FDG PET/CT in patients with limited-stage small cell lung cancer (LS-SCLC). Methods Sixty-six patients (58 males, 8 females;median age 65 years) with LS-SCLC who underwent pretreatment 18 F-FDG PET/CT from April 2009 to December 2015 were included in this retrospective study. The relations between the SUVmax , the sum of MTV ( MTVsum ) , the sum of TLG ( TLGsum ) and clinical factors were analyzed. ROC curve was plotted to estimate the most discrimination threshold ( cutoff point) for each parameter to maximize the sensitivity and specifici-ty in predicting the progression or recurrence. Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test were used to perform univariate survival analysis and Cox proportional hazards model for multivariate analysis. Results The SUVmax, MTVsum and TLGsum of 66 patients were 10.57±3.27, 38.71(2.89, 221.68) cm3 and 267.04 (1167, 1684.13), respectively. SUVmax, MTVsum and TLGsum were all associated with hydrothorax, the maximum diameter of tumor, clinical stage and LDH. MTVsum and TLGsum were also associated with tumor type and NSE. During the median 33 months of follow-up, 4 patients were lost to follow-up, 43 patients were progressive or recurrent with the median PFS of 12.30 months, and 38 patients died with the median OS of 15.75 months. The optimal cutoff point of SUVmax, MTVsum and TLGsum were 10.08, 16.18 cm3, 209.14, re-spectively. Univariate analysis showed that hydrothorax, the maximum diameter of tumor, clinical stage, NSE, LDH, surgery, MTVsum and TLGsum were all associated with PFS and OS. SUVmax was associated with PFS, but not with OS. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that NSE, LDH, MTVsum and TLGsum were the in-dependent predictors of PFS ( HR3.83, 4.46, 9.26, 3.87, all P<0.05) , and LDH, MTVsum were also the independent predictors of OS ( HR2.77, 6.83, both P<0.05) . However, SUVmax was not the independent predictor of PFS(HR=1.47, P>0.05). Conclusions 18F-FDG PET/CT can predict the prognosis of pa-tients with LS-SCLC. SUVmax is correlated with PFS, MTVsum and TLGsum are independent predictors of PFS, and MTVsum is also an independent predictor of OS.