A model of predicting infiltration depth of colorectal cancer based on narrow band imaging system and endoscopic ultrasonography / 中国医师杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective:To establish a model of improving diagnostic capability in infiltration depth of colorectal cancer (CRC) with combining narrow band imaging system(NBI) and endoscopic ultrasonography (EUS).Methods:CRC patients who were treated in Chongqing Fifth People′s Hospital from April 2015 to March 2021 were selected retrospectively as the research objects. All patients were diagnosed by postoperative pathological diagnosis. In the end, a total of 288 CRC patients were included. Using the random number table method, the study subjects were divided into modeling group ( n=192) and verification group ( n=96) at a ratio of 2∶1. The patients′ general information, NBI and EUS examination results were collected; logistic regression was used to analyze the independent risk factors of CRC submucosal infiltration, and a model was built to predict the depth of CRC infiltration; receiver operating characteristic (ROC) was used to identify the diagnostic ability of model. The diagnostic efficacy of CRC submucosal infiltration was verified internally by the verification group. Results:In the modeling group, lymph node metastasis ( OR=6.492, 95% CI 5.128-7.855, P<0.001), low tumor differentiation ( OR=2.736, 95% CI 1.731-3.741, P<0.001) and tumor length ( OR=2.049, 95% CI 1.524-2.574, P<0.001) were independent risk factors for submucosal infiltration in CRC patients; The nomograph model constructed according to the above independent risk factors had a strong diagnostic ability for the depth of submucosal infiltration of CRC, and was internally validated in the validation group. AUC values of the modeling group and the validation group were 0.945 (0.935-0.955) and 0.951 (0.942-0.961), respectively. Conclusions:The nomogram model established by the combination of endoscopic narrow band imaging technology and ultrasound endoscopy can diagnose the depth of CRC infiltration better.