Impact of Climate Change on Human Infectious Diseases: Dengue
Braz. arch. biol. technol
;
64: e21190502, 2021. tab, graf
Artigo
em Inglês
| LILACS
| ID: biblio-1285558
ABSTRACT
Abstract Climate is considered an important factor in the temporal and spatial distribution of vector-borne diseases. Dengue transmission involves many factors although it is not yet fully understood, climate is a critical factor as it facilitates risk analysis of epidemics. This study analyzed the effect of seasonal factors and the relationship between climate variables and dengue risk in the municipality of Campo Grande, from 2008 to 2018. Generalized linear models with negative binomial and Poisson distribution were used. The most appropriate model was the one with "minimum temperature" and "precipitation", both lagged by one month, controlled by "year". In this model, a 1°C rise in the minimum temperature of one month led to an increase in dengue cases the following month, while a 10 mm increase in precipitation led to an increase in dengue cases the following month.
Texto completo:
DisponíveL
Índice:
LILACS (Américas)
Assunto principal:
Mudança Climática
/
Dengue
/
Distribuição Temporal
Tipo de estudo:
Estudo prognóstico
Idioma:
Inglês
Revista:
Braz. arch. biol. technol
Assunto da revista:
Biologia
Ano de publicação:
2021
Tipo de documento:
Artigo
País de afiliação:
Brasil
Instituição/País de afiliação:
Federal Rural University of Rio de Janeiro/BR
/
Federal University of Alagoas/BR
/
Federal University of Mato Grosso do Sul/BR
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