Influence of total cholesterol levels on long-term mortality in coronary heart disease: a reappraisal.

ABSTRACT

To examine the prognostic significance of total cholesterol levels at baseline in subjects with stable coronary heart disease, 605 patients with stable coronary heart disease were enrolled; 45 of these did not meet inclusion criteria, 41 were lost to follow-up and 40 opted for coronary bypass surgery. Data of the remaining 479 (389 males, 90 females) were analysed. There were 102 males in group I (cholesterol < 200 mg/dL), 187 in group II (cholesterol 200-239 mg/dL), and 100 in group III (cholesterol > or = 240 mg/dL) and 49 females in group I and 41 in group II. The groups were evenly matched for age and numbers with stable angina or survivors of myocardial infarction. Proportion of smokers, hypertensives, diabetics or obese was also similar (p > 0.05). Mean follow-up in years in men was 6.82 +/- 3.15 in group I, 6.37 +/- 3.11 in group II and 6.81 +/- 2.84 in group III while in women it was 6.95 +/- 2.84 in group I and 7.03 +/- 2.58 years in group II and was not different in various groups (p > 0.05). The overall cardiovascular mortality in various groups in men was 20.6 percent in group I, 28.9 percent in group II and 23.0 percent in group III and in women it was 14.3 percent in group I and 22.0 percent in group II. The crude mortality rate was 2.51 percent per year in males and 1.77 percent per year in females. Actuarial survival at end of seven years in males was 0.76 +/- 0.05 in group I, 0.67 +/- 0.04 in group II, and 0.67 +/- 0.05 in group III and in females it was 0.85 +/- 0.05 in group I and 0.73 +/- 0.09 in group II. The cumulative hazard rates per 1000 person- year follow-up in group I, II and III in males were, at age less than 50 years 5.4 +/- 5, 19.8 +/- 7, 17.4 +/- 8; at 50-59 years 23.8 +/- 11, 38.5 +/- 9, 39.8 +/- 13; and at 60 years and over 76.9 +/- 20, 112.6 +/- 20, 108.2 +/- 28, respectively (p < 0.001 on comparison of group I with groups II and III). In females the trends were not significant. Total cholesterol levels at baseline predict long-term cardiovascular mortality in men with stable coronary heart disease.