Adults' perceived prevalence of enteric fever predicts laboratory-validated incidence of typhoid fever in children.
J Health Popul Nutr
;
2007 Dec; 25(4): 469-78
Artigo
em Inglês
| IMSEAR
| ID: sea-770
ABSTRACT
This study was undertaken to develop a model to predict the incidence of typhoid in children based on adults' perception of prevalence of enteric fever in the wider community. Typhoid cases among children, aged 5-15 years, from epidemic regions in five Asian countries were confirmed with a positive Salmonella Typhi culture of the blood sample. Estimates of the prevalence of enteric fever were obtained from random samples of adults in the same study sites. Regression models were used for establishing the prediction equation. The percentages of enteric fever reported by adults and cases of typhoid incidence per 100,000, detected through blood culture were 4.7 and 24.18 for Viet Nam, 3.8 and 29.20 for China, 26.3 and 180.33 for Indonesia, 66.0 and 454.15 for India, and 52.7 and 407.18 for Pakistan respectively. An established prediction equation was incidence of typhoid (1/100,000= -2.6946 + 7.2296 x reported prevalence of enteric fever (%) (F=31.7, p<0.01; R2=0.992). Using adults' perception of prevalence of disease as the basis for estimating its incidence in children provides a cost-effective behavioural epidemiologic method to facilitate prevention and control of the disease.
Texto completo:
DisponíveL
Índice:
IMSEAR (Sudeste Asiático)
Assunto principal:
Percepção
/
Ásia
/
Salmonella typhi
/
Febre Tifoide
/
Feminino
/
Humanos
/
Masculino
/
Criança
/
Pré-Escolar
/
Vigilância da População
Tipo de estudo:
Estudo diagnóstico
/
Estudo de incidência
/
Estudo de prevalência
/
Estudo prognóstico
/
Fatores de risco
/
Estudo de rastreamento
País/Região como assunto:
Ásia
Idioma:
Inglês
Revista:
J Health Popul Nutr
Assunto da revista:
Gastroenterology
/
Nutritional Sciences
/
Public Health
Ano de publicação:
2007
Tipo de documento:
Artigo
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