Comparison of the predictive value of four critical scoring systems in predicting the prognosis of children with sepsis / 中国小儿急救医学

ABSTRACT

Objective:To analyze the predictive value of four scoring systems,Pediatric Clinical Illness Score (PCIS),Pediatric Logistic Organ Dysfunction Score 2 (PELOD-2),Pediatric Risk of Mortality Ⅲ (PRISM Ⅲ),and Pediatric Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (pSOFA),in the severity and prognosis in pediatric sepsis.Methods:The medical records of 159 children with sepsis who admitted to PICU at the First Hospital of Jilin University between August 2015 and December 2020 were retrospectively analyzed.The PCIS,PELOD-2,PRISM Ⅲ and pSOFA scores were calculated according to the worst value of each index within 24 h of admission.The children were divided into survival group and death group based on clinical outcomes during hospitalization.The children were stratified according to the severity of sepsis into sepsis (no organ dysfunction) group ( n=18) and severe sepsis group ( n=141).The receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the value of PCIS,PELOD-2,PRISM Ⅲ and pSOFA scores in predicting the severity and prognosis in pediatric sepsis. Results:There were 97 (61.01%) cases in the survival group and 62(38.99%) cases in the death group.There were 141(88.68%) children with severe sepsis.The areas under curve (AUCs) of PCIS,PELOD-2,PRISM Ⅲ and pSOFA scores for predicting severe sepsis in children with sepsis were 0.869,0.875,0.672 and 0.933,respectively (all P <0.05).The AUCs of PCIS,PELOD-2,PRISM Ⅲ and pSOFA scores for predicting the death of children with sepsis in PICU were 0.687,0.697,0.716 and 0.656,respectively (all P<0.05). Conclusion:Among the four scoring systems,the pSOFA scoring system had the highest predictive power for the severity of sepsis.The PRISM Ⅲ score had higher value in assessing the risk of death in all patients with sepsis.