Establishment of a Predictive Model for the Diagnosis of Benign and Malignant Thyroid Nodules via Multimodal Ultrasound Combined with Thyroid Hormone / 中国医学影像学杂志

ABSTRACT

Purpose To construct a benign and malignant prediction model of thyroid nodules based on ultrasound image features and clinical features,and to evaluate its diagnostic efficacy.Materials and Methods The data of 121 patients diagnosed with thyroid nodules admitted to the General Hospital of Northern Theater Command from September 2020 to March 2022 were retrospectively analyzed.Taken surgical pathology as the gold standard,there were 70 benign nodules and 51 malignant nodules.Logistic regression was used to analyze the ultrasound image characteristics and clinical data of thyroid nodules,and the characteristic indexes with statistical differences were obtained and a comprehensive prediction model was established.Results There were significant differences in the maximum diameter,morphology,calcification,capsule continuity,blood flow grade,elastography score and contrast-enhanced ultrasound characteristics between benign and malignant thyroid nodules(χ2=11.709,17.707,6.901,12.785,16.984,57.095,98.854,all P<0.05).There were significant differences in age,free thyroxine/free thyroxine ratio,and free thyroxine between the two groups(χ2/t=5.944,2.519,-2.468,all P<0.05).The sensitivity,specificity and accuracy of the clinical model,ultrasonic characteristic model and ultrasonic-clinical combined model were 55.7%,98.6%and 97.0%;72.5%,94.1%and 96.1%;and 61.9%,95.1%and 95.9%,respectively.The area under the curve of the three models were 0.619,0.991 and 0.994,respectively.The diagnostic efficiency of the ultrasonic characteristic model and the combined model was superior to the clinical model,and the difference was statistically significant(Z=-1.75,-2.25,P=0.039,0.012).The area under the curve of the combined model was greater than that of the multi-modal ultrasound model,however,the difference was not statistically significant(Z=-1.60,P=0.054).Conclusion Both the multimodal ultrasound model and the clinical model have certain diagnostic value in predicting benign and malignant thyroid nodules.The diagnostic efficiency of the multimodal ultrasound model is higher than that of the clinical model,and the combined prediction model of the two can improve the diagnostic value.