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How many emergency physicians does Korea need?
Journal of the Korean Society of Emergency Medicine ; : 613-619, 2005.
Artigo em Coreano | WPRIM | ID: wpr-26492
ABSTRACT

PURPOSE:

This research used mathematical modeling to project the supply and demand of emergency physicians over the next decade in Korea.

METHODS:

A model was used to project the annual emergency physicians (EP) workforce supply and demand through the year 2015. The mathematical equations used were as follows Supply = number of emergency physicians at the beginning of the year plus annual residency graduates minus annual attrition; Demand formula I = 5.29 fulltime equivalent positions/emergency department (ED) x the number of hospital EDs, Demand formula II = annual ED visits/(4,700visits/EP/year), Demand formula III = (11 to 16 EP per major referral ED) + (6 to 8 EP per urban district/ regional hospital ED).

RESULTS:

While the most conservative demand projection was 1,505 EPs in the year 2015, the most aggressive supply estimate with a yearly supply of 120 new EPs and a 1% attrition rate was 1,362 EPs in that year.

CONCLUSIONS:

In Korea, emergency physicians will remain in short supply for the next ten years, even at the present levels of EM residency output.
Assuntos

Texto completo: DisponíveL Índice: WPRIM (Pacífico Ocidental) Assunto principal: Encaminhamento e Consulta / Emergências / Medicina de Emergência / Hospitais / Internato e Residência / Coreia (Geográfico) / Modelos Teóricos País/Região como assunto: Ásia Idioma: Coreano Revista: Journal of the Korean Society of Emergency Medicine Ano de publicação: 2005 Tipo de documento: Artigo

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Texto completo: DisponíveL Índice: WPRIM (Pacífico Ocidental) Assunto principal: Encaminhamento e Consulta / Emergências / Medicina de Emergência / Hospitais / Internato e Residência / Coreia (Geográfico) / Modelos Teóricos País/Região como assunto: Ásia Idioma: Coreano Revista: Journal of the Korean Society of Emergency Medicine Ano de publicação: 2005 Tipo de documento: Artigo