Effects of plasma brain natriuretic peptide on prognosis of elderly patients with severe sepsis / 中华急诊医学杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective To evaluate the predictive value of brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) on mortality in elderly patient with severe sepsis or septic shock. Method Eighty-three elderly patients meeting with criteria of severe sepsis or septic shock by the American College of Chest Physicians and the Society of Critical Care Medicine (ACCP/SCCM) in 2001, admitted in Intensive Care Unit (ICU) of Zhejiang Hospital during May 2004 to June 2007, were enrolled, and patients with chronic renal failure were excluded. The patients were divided into survivor and non - survivor group according to whether they survived within 28 days staying in ICU, the difference of plasma BNP level,serum C-creative protein (CRP) concentration, APACHE II and SOFA scores on admission day and BNP level on the third day between the two groups were compared; thereafter, the relationship between muhiple variables including age, admission day, BNP, CRP, APACHE 11 and SOFA scores, the 3rd day BNP level and 28-day mortality were analyzed by Logistic regression, and meanwhile the independent predictors for ICU moaality among which were determined. Results BNP levels on both admission day and the 3rd day were significantly higher in nomurvivor group than those in survivor group[ ( 1056.38±676.34) pg/ml vs. (611.59±610.02) pg/ml,p =0.002 and (1448.48+891.11) pg/ml vs. (522.41±575.20) pg/ml, P<0.001, respectively]. By Logistic regression analysis, BNP level on the 3rd day and SOFA score on admission day were independent predictors of ICU mortality, The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves indicated that values of areas under the curve of the admission day and the 3rd day BNP levels for 28-days mortality were 0.735 (95% CI,0. 621～0. 848, P <0.001) andO.836 (95% CI, 0.746～0,926,P<0.001), respectively. Conclusions Plasma BNP inereaseds in majority of eldedy patients with severe sepsis or septic shock, which may serve as irdex for prognosis in elderly severe septic paients.