Estimation of baseline lifetime risk of developed cancer related to radiation exposure in China / 中华放射医学与防护杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective To introduce the general international method for estimation of lifetime risk of developed cancer,and to estimate the lifetime risk baseline values of several kinds of cancers related to radiation exposures in China.Methods The risk estimation was based on the data from Chinese Cancer Registry Annual Report (2010) and China Population & Employment Statistics Yearbook (2009),and made according to the method previously published by National Cancer Institute (NCI) in USA.Results The lifetime risk of all cancer in China in 2007 was estimated to be 27.77％,that of lung cancer 5.96％,that of breast cancer for female 3.34％,that of all leukemia 0.14％,that of thyroid cancer 0.37％.The lifetime risks of all cancer were estimated to be 32.74％ for males and 24.73％ for females,and that was 36.47％ for urban residents and 26.79％ for rural people.Conclusions The lifetime risk of all cancer for males in 2007 was about 1.25 times as much as that for females.The value of all cancer for urban residents was about 1.35 times as much as that for rural residents.The lifetime risk of developed cancers in 2007 in China is lower than that in the developed countries,such as Japan.