MELD-Na score combined with serum cholesterol and endotoxin concentration on the evaluation of the decompensated liver cirrhosis prognosis / 中国综合临床

ABSTRACT

Objective To evaluate the prognosis of the decompensated liver cirrhosis by means of MELD-Na score combined with serum cholesterol and endotoxin concentration.MethodsData of 156 hospitalized patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis was retrospectively analyzed.Patients were divided into survival and death group according to follow-ups at 6 months,12 months and 24 months.MELD-Na score was made among 156 patients by detecting relevant indicators.Serum cholesterol and cholesterol levels were measured,too.The relationship between decompensated liver cirrhosis prognosis and MELD-Na score combined with serum cholesterol and endotoxin concentration was analyzed.ResultsNinteen patients died at the follow-up for 6 months.Fifty nine patients died at the followe-up for 12 months.Seventy seven patients died at the follow-up for 24 months.There was significant difference on MELD-Na score,endotoxin concentration and serum cholesterol between the survival group and the death group (t =-9.68,-9.22,11.4,-4.65,-19.60,16.20,-20.0,-18.7,17.3,respectively,P ＜0.05).The best critical value of MELD-Na score to predicate death in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis was 32 points.The risk of death would rise if MELD-Na score increased.The best critical value of plasma endotoxin to predicate death in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis was ≥ 12 ng/L.The best threshold value of serum cholesterol to predict death in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis was ≤ 1.70 mmol/L.ConclusionMELD-Na score,serum cholesterol and serum endotoxin were of higher prognostic value to judge the prognosis of patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis.