Analysis of predictive factors for the decline of residual renal function in new peritoneal dialysis patients / 中华肾脏病杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective To prospectively evaluate the risk factors for the decline of residual renal function (RRF) in new peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients.Methods A total of 84 new PD patients in our PD center were included in this study.Clinical comprehensive assessment were made,and regression models was established to analyze the relationship between the decline of RRF and clinical indicators,which included the rate of peritonitis,systolic pressure,diastolic pressure,urine volume,24 h urinary protein,serum albumin,C-reactive protein(CRP),history of diabetes mellitus,and the use of angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitor (ACEI) or angiotensin receptor blockers (ARB) drugs,cardiac functional grading,sodium and water retention and biochemical indicators.The primary outcome was defined as two consecutive urine volume ≤ 100 ml/24 h.Results The mean follow-up time was (11.7± 1.1) months,primary outcome occurred in 20 patients,accounting for 23.8％,and their average period progressed to the primary outcome was (10.5±2.0) months.The 20 patients had higher ultrafiltration volume [(551.6±328.2) ml vs (294.1±288.0) ml,P=0.001],higher systolic blood pressure [(145.2±16.5) mmHg vs (136.0±13.8) mmHg,P=0.016],worse cardiac functional grading [(1.7±0.8) vs (1.3±0.4),P=0.000],more serious water-sodium retention [(1.0±0.7) vs (0.6±0.5),P=0.012],higher peritonitis rates (35.0％ vs 4.7％,P=0.000),lower Kt/V [(1.7 ± 0.4) vs (2.0 ± 0.3),P=0.003],lower hemoglobin levels [(89.0± 14.9) g/L vs (99.5± 17.8) g/L,P=0.020],higher C-reactive protein levels [(19.4±34.4) mg/L vs(8.7±12.6) mg/L,P=0.017],higher Scr levels [(1 004.6±291.1) μmol/L vs (753.1±254.3) μ mol/L,P=0.000],lower serum calcium levels[(1.86±0.1) mmol/UL vs (2.02±0.2) mmol/L,P=0.000],higher serum phosphorus [(2.1±0.6) mmol/L vs (1.6±0.4) mmol/L,P=0.001] and higher calcium phosphorus product [(3.8±1.1) mmol2/L2 vs (3.1±0.8) mmol2/L2,P=0.010] as compared with those of the patients without the primary outcome.Based on the results of multivariable Cox regression analysis,ultrafiltration volume,cardiac functional grading,peritonitis,Kt/V and serum phosphorus level contributed to the decline of RRF significantly.Conclusion The higher Kt/V in PD patients plays a protective role,the higher ultrafiltration volume,the worse heart function,the more peritonitis rate and higher serum phosphorus predict more rapid declination of RRF.