Value of extravascular lung water Index in assessment of prognosis of elderly patients with combined septic shock and pulmonary capillary leakage / 中华老年医学杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective To investigate the value of extravascular lung water index(EVLWI) in assessment of prognosis of elderly patients with combined septic shock and pulmonary capillary leakage.Methods Totally 34 elderly patients with septic shock and pulmonary capillary leakage in our hospital from Jan.2011 to Dec.2012 were selected.Cardiac index (CI),global end diastolic volume index (GEDI),systemic vascular resistance index (SVRI),pulmonary vascular permeability index (PVPI) and EVLWI were detected by pulse-indicator continuous cardiac output (PiCCO) technology for 3 days.Based on the actual body weight (ABW) and predicted body weight (PBW),the actual extravascular lung water index and predicted extravascular lung water index were calculated.Peak airway pressure (Ppeak),plateau pressure (Pplat),mean airway pressure (Pm),tidal volume (VT),positive end expiratory pressure (PEEP),oxygen concentration (FiO2) and static lung compliance (Cst) were monitored,the arterial partial pressure of oxygen (PaO2) was detected by blood gas analysis,and the PaO2/FiO2 (P/F) and oxygenation index (OI) were calculated.Chest X-ray,lung injury score (LIS) were conducted.The correlations of EVLWI to actual body weight (EVLWIa) and predicted body weight(EVLWIp) with P/F,Cst and LIS were analyzed.The predictive value of EVLWIa and EVLWIp in the prognosis in elderly patients with septic shock and pulmonary capillary leakage was assessed.Results At day 1,non-survivors had higher levels of SOFA score and lactate level than survivors (both P＜0.05).However,these variables including SOFA score,LIS,PVPI,lactate level,fluid balance,norepinephrine level,EVLWIa and EVLWIp were higher and PaO2/FiO2 was lower in non-survivors than in the survivors at day 3 (all P＜0.05).EVLWIa and EVLWIp were positively correlated with LIS (r=0.461 and 0.588,both P＜0.05) and negatively correlated with PaO2/FiO2 (P/F) (r=-0.307 and-0.436,both P＜0.05).EVLWIa and EVLWIp had negatively correlations with Cst,but r=-0.141 and-0.154,both P＞0.05.Multiple logistic regression analysis showed that SOFA,EVLWa and EVLWp were independent predictive risk factors for mortality in elderly patients with septic shock and pulmonary capillary leakage.The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) of SOFA,EVLWIa and EVLWIp for predicting the prognosis were 0.769,0.832 and 0.855 respectively.With 11.96ml/kg as the cutoff point of EVLWIp,the sensitivity and specificity of EVLWIp predicting the survival of patients was 94.4％ and 61.5％ respectively.Conclusions Extravascular lung water can predict the prognosis and reflect the severity of lung injury in elderly patients with septic shock and puhnonary capillary leakage.Compared with EVLWIa,the EVLWIp has a better correlation with lung injury and a higher predictive value for survival.