Analysis of incidence and mortality of prostate cancer in urban Guangzhou between 2000 and 2011 / 中华泌尿外科杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective To analysis of incidence and mortality of prostate cancer in urban Guangzhou during 2000-2011 and discuss the trends.Methods The incidence and mortality rates were calculated by analyzing data obtained from Guangzhou Cancer Registration Center.Standardized rates were calculated using the Segi's World Standard Population.According to the characters of morbidity and mortality,ages were divided into three groups of 0-64,65-74 and ≥ 75 years.The average annual percentage change (AAPC) were calculated by Jointpoint Regression Program 4.0.4.Results Altogether 3 029 new cases of prostate cancer and 964 related deaths were registered between 2000 and 2011.The AAPC was 10.01％ (95％ CI6.00％-14.20％) in crude incidence rate and 8.04％ (95％ CI6.20％-9.90％) in crude mortality rate,resulting in a total increase of 287.76％ (from 4.82 to 18.69 per 100 000 population) in incidence and 142.90％ (from 2.41 to 5.86 per 100000 population) over the 12 years.There was no significant difference in both standardized incidence and mortality change.The AAPC was 11.51％ (95％ CI6.00％-17.30％) in 0-64 age incidence rate (resulting in increase of 315.87％ and 1.99 per 100,000 population),4.19％ (95％ CI0.30％-8.20％) in 65-74 age incidence rate (resulting in increase of 92.72％ and 45.82 per 100 000 population) and 2.77％ (95％CI-1.00％-6.70％) in ≥75 age incidence rate (resulting in increase of 42.84％ and 63.13 per 100 000 population).The age incidence rate increase was the largest in the ≥ 75 age group,but fastest in the younger group.The age mortality trend was only statistically significant in 0-64 age group,AAPC was 6.25％ (95％ CI0.30％-12.60％).Conclusions The incidence and mortality rates of Guangzhou increased in a fast rate.The prevention and control of prostate cancer should be strengthened.