Spatial scan analysis on tuberculosis notifications in Zhejiang province, 2005-2014 / 中华传染病杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective To analyze the epidemic characteristics of tuberculosis (TB) cases in Zhejiang province from 2005 to 2014, and to identify the cluster spots.Methods TB notification data in Zhejiang province from 2005 to 2014 were analyzed at county and district level by using spatial scan statistic analysis method, which was showed on the digital map.Results In zhejiang province from 2005 to 2014, a total of 377 707 cases of patients with tuberculosis were reported.The average annual registration rates of the entire province was 72.61/100 000 (range 28.85/100 000-182.90/100 000).Spatial analysis identified 14 clusters (RR=1.05-1.62) with statistical significance.Temporal analysis revealed that there were clusters between 2005 and 2009 in terms of the notification data on TB cases (RR=1.27,P=0.001).Spatio-temporal analysis identified 6 clusters (RR=1.19-3.55) with statistical significance.Counties and districts included in the first class cluster were similar by using the two different methods-spatial analysis and spatial-temporal analysis.Conclusions There is a descending trend of TB cases notification rates from western to eastern Zhejiang during the study period.The distribution of the TB case notified is not random at spatial, temporal and spatio-temporal levels.