Risk factors for predicting local recurrence and distant metastasis in patients with upper tract urothelial carcinoma after radical nephroureterectomy / 中华泌尿外科杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective To identify risk factors for local recurrence and distant metastasis in patients with upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) after radical nephroureterectomy (RNU).Methods We retrospectively reviewed 269 patients with UTUC who had performed RNU from 2003 to 2013 in the Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University.158 were males and 111 were females,aged range from 37 to 86 years old,left side were 144 cases and right side were 125 cases,157 cases occurred in renal pelvis and 112 cases in ureter,the diameter of tumor ＞ 3 cm were 163 cases,≥ pT3 stage were 143 cases,presence of lymphovascular invasion (LVI) were 35 cases,high grade tumors (G3) were 185 cases,presence of hydronephrosis were 185 cases,multifocal tumors were 28 cases,sessile tumors were 86 cases,neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio(NLR) ≥ 2.0 were 109 cases,estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) ＜ 60ml/(min · 1.73 m2) were 62 cases,plasma fibrinogen ≥3.2 g/L were 129 cases.Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify independent prognostic factors for local recurrence-free survival (IRFS) and distant metastasis-free survival (dMFS).Results The median follow-up was 43.8 months (range 4.4-131.8).30 patients had a local recurrence with a median intermittent period of 19.4 months (range 4.3-71.3).35 patients had a distant metastasis with a median intermittent period of 17.7 months (range 4.1-51.4).In univariate analysis,sessile tumor(P =0.041),tumor multifocality (P =0.027),location in ureter (P =0.001),presence of LVI (P＜0.001),≥pT3 stage(P ＜0.001),eGFR ＜60ml/(min · 1.73 m2) (P =0.009) and plasma fibrinogen ≥ 3.2 g/L (P ＜ 0.001) were associated with lRFS.While high-grade tumor (G3) (P =0.012),sessile tumor (P ＜ 0.001),presence of LVI (P ＜ 0.001),presence of hydronephrosis (P =0.046),and NLR ≥2.0 (P =0.002) were associated with dMFS.Multivariate analysis revealed that location in ureter(HR =4.835,95 ％ CI 1.792-13.044,P =0.002),presence of LVI (HR =5.037,95 ％ CI 2.183-11.230,P ＜ 0.001),≥pT3 stage(HR =2.987,95％ CI 1.078-8.283,P =0.035) and plasma fibrinogen ≥3.20g/L (HR =4.281,95 ％ CI 1.454-12.603,P =0.008) were independent factors for lRFS.Sessile tumor (HR =6.097,95％ CI 2.536-14.660,P ＜ 0.001),presence of LVI (HR =4.191,95％ CI 2.035-8.633,P ＜ 0.001),and NLR ≥2.0 (HR =2.741,95％ CI 1.128-6.657,P =0.026) were independent factors for dMFS.We stratified patients into three risk groups of LR and DM based on the results of the multivariate analysis respectively.The 1-year,3-year,5-year lRFS rates were 99.0％,96.8％,95.0％ in the low-risk group;94.5％,91.2％,87.6％ in the intermediate-risk group;and 77.8％,58.8％,58.8％ in the high-risk group.The differences among groups were significant (P ＜ 0.001).The 1-year,3-year,5-year dMFS rates were 98.4％,97.6％,96.0％ in the low-risk group,88.0％,73.8％,71.8％ in the intermediate-risk group,and 63.7％,42.9％,28.5％ in the high-risk group.The differences among groups were significant as well(P ＜ 0.001).Conclusion Location in ureter,presence of LVI,≥ pT3 stageand plasma fibrinogen ≥3.2 g/L were independent factors for lRFS.Sessile tumor,presence of LVI,and NLR ≥ 2.0 were independent factors for dMFS.The risk stratification models may be useful for identifying the patients with high risk of LR/DM after surgery.