Analysis on epidemiological and spatio－temporal characteristics of hand，foot and mouth disease in Yunnan Province from 2014 to 2018 / 中华疾病控制杂志

ABSTRACT

@#Objective To analyze the epidemic situation and characteristics of spatial autocorrelation and spatiotemporal regular of hand，foot and mouth disease( HFMD) in Yunnan Province during the period from 2014 to 2018，thus to provide theoretical basis for HFMD prevention and control． Methods Descriptive epidemiologic method was used to analyze the epidemic situation of HFMD，spatial autocorrela- tion was used to analyze the spatial cluster aggregation，and discrete Possion model in spatio－temporal in scan was used to detect HFMD＇s spatio－temporal clustering condition． Ｒesults The incidence of HFMD in Yunnan Province had been risen rapidly during the past 5 years． Cases mainly occurred among the group of male，0－4 years old group and scattered children． The predominant pathogen had changed，Other enterovir- us gradually replaced enterovirus 71( EV71) to be the predominant． HFMD cases and pathogen showed sig- nificant spatial clustering aggregation，HFMD cases hot spots mainly concentrated in the central and south－ central part of Yunnan Province． The amount of EV71 cases hot spots increased gradually，and the hot spot areas augmented and extended to the central and south－central part of Yunnan Province． There was obvious spatial－temporal aggregation of HFMD，annual scan results detected 3 first－level cluster areas and 1 second －level cluster area． Clustering time was mainly concentrated in April to October of each year． Conclusions Distribution characteristics of HFMD among people in Yunnan Province did not change significantly during the period from 2014 to 2018，while the proportion of pathogenic spectrum changed significantly． The key areas of HFMD control and prevention were still in the central and central－south part of Yunnan Province，while the aggregation and break of HFMD in these areas from April to October should be concerned．