Cost-utility Analysis of 12-year-old Girls Vaccinated with Bivalent Human Papilloma Virus Vaccine in China / 中国药房

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE：To evaluate the co st-utility of bivalent human papilloma virus （HPV）vaccine for 12-year-old girls in China and provide economic evidence for health service decision makers. METHODS ：The CERVIVAC model was used to simulate the population of 12-year-old girls in China for a long time until all the population entered a state of death （1 year as a cycle ）. The cost and health output of the people in experimental group who received the bivalent HPV vaccine and the control group who did not receive the vaccine were calculated separately ， and the economics was judged combined with willingness to pay threshold [WTP ，1 time of China ’s per capita gross domestic product （GDP）in 2019]. RESULTS ：During the simulation period ， the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio （ICER） of the experimental group compared with the control group was 28 660.56 yuan/QALY，which was less than WTP and had pharmacoeconomic advantages. The results of single-factor sensitivity analysis showed that the five parameters that had a greater impact on ICER were discount rate ，the proportion of HPV- 16/HPV-18-induced cervical cancer ，vaccine effective rate ，direct economic burden of early/in situ cancer each year and the direct economic burden of advanced/metastatic cancer each year. The results of probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed that the experimental group was more acceptable（74％）than the control group when using 1 time of China ’s per capita GDP in 2019 as WTP ；the experimental group had a greater cost-utility advantage when WTP was higher than 25 876 yuan/QALY. CONCLUSIONS ：For the prevention of cervical cancer，the bivalent HPV vaccine for 12-year-old girls in China has more cost-utility advantages than no vaccine intervention.