Influence of clinical features at initial hemodialysis on long-term prognosis in advance-aged patients / 中华老年医学杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective:To analyze the association of clinical characteristics and laboratory indicators at initial maintenance hemodialysis(MHD)with long-term prognosis in advance-aged patients, and to find influencing factors for the prognosis in advance-aged MHD patients.Methods:This retrospective study was conducted at the Nephrology Department of Beijing Hospital between April 2007 and January 2018.A total of 61 patients receiving first-time hemodialysis at ≥ 80 years of age and undergone regular dialysis for 3 months or longer were enrolled.All patients were followed-up until death or the end of July 1, 2018.Patients were divided into the survivor and non-survivor groups, and differences in clinical characteristics and laboratory indicator values were compared between the two groups.Influencing factors for prognosis in advance-aged MHD patients were analyzed by using multivariate Cox regression.Results:For the 61 subjects, the median follow-up time was 25.8 months.During the follow-up, 32 patients died(52.5%). The main death causes were infectious diseases(40.6%, n=13)and cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases(37.5%, n=12). The 1-, 2-, 3-, 4-, and 5-year cumulative survival rates were 75.4%(46/61), 54.1%(33/61), 37.7%(23/61), 22.9%(14/61)and 16.4%(10/61), respectively.The median survival time was 25.8 months for all patients, 27.5 months for patients aged 80-84 years, and 14.9 months for patients aged 85 years and over.The non-survivor group had a higher male ratio(65.6% or 21/32 vs.37.9% or 11/29, χ2=4.678, P=0.031)and lower levels of hemoglobin(85.4±13.0 vs.95.0±17.6 g/L, t=2.867, P=0.019)and albumin(30.3±5.0 vs.34.6±4.8 g/L, t=3.039, P=0.001)than the survivor group.Kaplan-Meier curves indicated that the survival rate decreased with age, and subjects aged less than 85 years had a higher survival rate than subjects aged 85 years and older(the median survival time 14.9 months vs.27.5 months, Log Rank P=0.006); patients who received continuous renal replacement therapy(CRRT)before dialysis had lower survival rates than patients who did not receive CRRT(the median survival time 7.8 months vs.29.2 months, Log Rank P=0.002); patients with high serum levels of albumin(≥33 g/L)had higher survival rates than patients with low serum levels of albumin(<33 g/L)(the median survival time 29.2 months vs.18.9 months, Log Rank P=0.003). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that age at initial dialysis( HR=1.136, 95% CI 1.005-1.285, P=0.041), female( HR=0.409; 95% CI 0.169-0.994, P=0.048), serum albumin level( HR=0.836, 95% CI 0.772-0.906, P<0.001)and CRRT before dialysis( HR=6.161, 95% CI 1.848-20.538, P=0.003)were independent predictors of all-cause mortality in advance-aged patients. Conclusions:Advance-aged patients undergoing hemodialysis have complicated clinical conditions and poor prognosis.Age, gender and serum albumin level at initial dialysis and CRRT before dialysis are independent predictors of prognosis in these patients.