Risk factors for prognosis of primary intussusception treated by enema reduction in children based on propensity score matching analysis / 国际外科学杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective:To evaluate the risk factors for prognosis of primary intussusception treated by enema reduction in children.Methods:A retrospective analysis of 519 patients with primary intussusception in Anhui Provincial Children′s Hospital from January 2017 to December 2020 was performed. Among the 519 patients, there were 346 males and 173 females. The median age was 15 months, with a range of 3 to 69 months, some basic information was collected. Patients were divided into bad prognosis group ( n=71) and good prognosis group ( n=448) according to prognosis.Propensity score matching (PSM) was conducted to reduce confounding bias between the groups. Conditional logistic regression were used to analysis the risk factors of primary intussusception treated by enema reduction. Results:There were 71 cases of poor prognosis among 519 primary intussusception patients, incidence was 13.7%.Before PSM, there was significant difference in 6 covariates, including gender, age, duration of symptoms, bloody stool, diarrhoea and fever between two group ( P<0.05). There was no significant difference in abdominal pain and vomit between two group ( P>0.05). With propensity score matching, 69 pairs of patients were sucessfully matched. After PSM, distribution of the above covariates reached equilibrium between two groups ( P>0.05). There were statistically significant differences in enema reduction, mass location, seroperitoneum, lactic acid and overweight/obese between the two groups ( P<0.05). Conditional logistic regression analysis confirmed that enema reduction( OR=3.478, 95% CI 1.150-10.517, P=0.027), mass location ( OR=6.596, 95% CI 1.669-26.056, P=0.007), lactic acid( OR=1.012, 95% CI 1.003-1.021, P=0.010), overweight/obese ( OR=6.085, 95% CI 1.650-22.436, P=0.007) were independent factors for predicting prognosis of primary intussusception treated by enema reduction. Conclusions:AER, mass located left hemicolon, elevated lactic acid and overweight/obese were independent risk factors for poor prognosis of primary intussusception treated by enema reduction.