Cost-effectiveness simulation analysis of medical services for COVID-19 in Wuhan city / 中华医院管理杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective:To analyze the cost-effectiveness simulation of medical services for COVID-19 epidemic in Wuhan city based on the social perspective, for the sake of providing references and suggestions to deal with possible public health emergencies in the future.Methods:Through policy documents and literature review, interview survey and Delphi method, the cost and cost-effectiveness of medical services for COVID-19 in Wuhan were simulated based on the decision-tree model, from December 27, 2019 to April 26, 2020.Results:The average curing cost of per patient diagnosed with COVID-19 in Wuhan was 175 462.10 yuan, a figure calculated in the baseline that these epidemic prevention and control measures were taken on January 23, 2020. In Hypothesis 1 (with epidemic prevention and control measures taken one week before), the cost was 164 552.43 yuan, and in Hypothesis 2 (with epidemic prevention and control measures taken one week later), the cost was 187 542.37 yuan. Compared with the baseline, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of the medical service for COVID-19 in Wuhan under Hypothesis 1 was 183 000 yuan per patient, which was more cost effective.Conclusions:The public health prevention and control measures played an important role during the COVID-19 epidemic in Wuhan. With the cost-effectiveness simulation results taken into account, this study can provide decision-makers with better references in likewise events.