A study on the relationship between serum transferrin and prognosis of elderly patients with sepsis / 中华老年医学杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective:To investigate the relationship between serum transferrin(TRF)and the characteristics and prognosis of elderly patients with sepsis.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on 49 elderly patients with sepsis treated at the Department of Critical Medicine and the Department of Respiratory and Critical Medicine of the First Affiliated Hospital of Suzhou University between October 2020 and March 2022 who had met the inclusion criteria.These patients were divided into a shock group(n=18)and a non-shock group(n=31); Based on outcomes, they were also divided into a death group(n=16)and a survival group(n=33).Through the random number table method, 30 healthy elderly people from the physical examination center of our hospital were selected as the control group.TRF and ferritin(SF)were measured on the 1st, 3rd and 7th day after admission, and the correlation between TRF and the sequential organ failure assessment score(SOFA)was analyzed.The predictive value of TRF on prognosis was evaluated via the receiver operating characteristic curve.Finally, the influence of multiple factors on prognosis was analyzed using the binary logistic regression model.Results:Compared with the control group at admission, SF levels of elderly patients with sepsis increased[709.20(402.40, 2000.00)μg/L vs.102.05(79.55, 199.75)μg/L, Z=-5.482, P<0.01], but TRF levels decreased[1.43(1.12, 1.72)g/L vs.2.23(1.80, 3.12)g/L, Z=5.395, all P<0.01], with statistical significance.On the 3rd and 7th day, TRF levels in the shock group were lower than in the non-shock group[(1.25±0.35)g/L vs.(1.55 ±0.51)g/L, 1.15(9.68, 1.34)g/L vs.1.56(1.19, 2.03)g/L]( t=-2.186, Z=3.258, P<0.05).There was a linear correlation between TRF and SOFA score on the 1st, 3rd and 7th day( R2=0.177, 0.176, 0.275, all P<0.01).TRF levels in the death group were lower than in the survival group on the 3rd and 7th day( Z=2.208, 3.423, P<0.05 for both).TRF levels on the 3rd and 7th day in elderly patients with sepsis had predictive value in evaluating the prognosis[area under receiver operating characteristic curve( AUC)values=0.696, 0.804, P<0.05, P<0.01].The survival curves based upon the best cutoff values(TRF=1.085 g/L on the 3rd day, TRF=1.330 g/L on the 7th day)between the two groups were statistically significantly( χ2=10.903, 13.318, P<0.01 for both).With TRF<1.085 g/L on the 3rd day, the risk of death in elderly patients with sepsis on the 28th day was 9.388 times the usual risk( OR=9.388, P<0.01), and with TRF<1.330 g/L on the 7th day, the risk of death was 14.625 times the usual risk on the 28th day( OR=14.625, P<0.01). Conclusions:Increased SF in elderly patients with sepsis is not related to disease severity, but the level of TRF is related to disease severity, and the level of TRF on the 3rd and 7th day is related to the prognosis and is an independent risk factor for all-cause death on the 28th day.