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Euro Surveill ; 25(23)2020 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2313322


We reviewed the diagnostic accuracy of SARS-CoV-2 serological tests. Random-effects models yielded a summary sensitivity of 82% for IgM, and 85% for IgG and total antibodies. For specificity, the pooled estimate were 98% for IgM and 99% for IgG and total antibodies. In populations with ≤ 5% of seroconverted individuals, unless the assays have perfect (i.e. 100%) specificity, the positive predictive value would be ≤ 88%. Serological tests should be used for prevalence surveys only in hard-hit areas.

Antibodies, Viral/blood , Clinical Laboratory Techniques/methods , Coronaviridae Infections/diagnosis , Coronavirus Infections/diagnosis , Coronavirus/immunology , Pneumonia, Viral/diagnosis , Serologic Tests/standards , Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome/immunology , Betacoronavirus , COVID-19 , COVID-19 Testing , Clinical Laboratory Techniques/standards , Coronavirus/isolation & purification , Coronavirus Infections/epidemiology , Coronavirus Infections/immunology , Humans , Immunoglobulin G/blood , Immunoglobulin M/blood , Pandemics , Pneumonia, Viral/epidemiology , Pneumonia, Viral/immunology , Predictive Value of Tests , SARS-CoV-2 , Sensitivity and Specificity , Serologic Tests/methods , Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome/blood
Front Med (Lausanne) ; 7: 367, 2020.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-660900


Background: The unprecedented impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on modern society has ignited a "gold rush" for effective treatment and diagnostic strategies, with a significant diversion of economic, scientific, and human resources toward dedicated clinical research. We aimed to describe trends in this rapidly changing landscape to inform adequate resource allocation. Methods: We developed an online repository (COVID Trial Monitor) to analyze in real time the growth rate, geographical distribution, and characteristics of COVID-19 related trials. We defined structured semantic ontologies with controlled vocabularies to categorize trial interventions, study endpoints, and study designs. Analyses are publicly available at Results: We observe a clear prevalence of monocentric trials with highly heterogeneous endpoints and a significant disconnect between geographic distribution and disease prevalence, implying that most countries would need to recruit unrealistic percentages of their total prevalent cases to fulfill enrolment. Conclusions: This geographically and methodologically incoherent growth casts doubts on the actual feasibility of locally reaching target sample sizes and the probability of most of these trials providing reliable and transferable results. We call for the harmonization of clinical trial design criteria for COVID-19 and the increased use of larger master protocols incorporating elements of adaptive designs. COVID Trial Monitor identifies critical issues in current COVID-19-related clinical research and represents a useful resource with which researchers and policymakers can improve the quality and efficiency of related trials.