Cystatin C is associated with adverse COVID-19 outcomes in diverse populations.

COVID-19 has highly variable clinical courses. The search for prognostic host factors for COVID-19 outcome is a priority. We performed logistic regression for ICU admission against a polygenic score (PGS) for Cystatin C (CyC) production in patients with COVID-19. We analyzed the predictive value of longitudinal plasma CyC levels in an independent cohort of patients hospitalized with COVID-19. In four cohorts spanning European and African ancestry populations, we identified a significant association between CyC-production PGS and odds of critical illness (n cases=2,319), with the strongest association captured in the UKB cohort (OR 2.13, 95% CI 1.58-2.87, p=7.12e-7). Plasma proteomics from an independent cohort of hospitalized COVID-19 patients (n cases = 131) demonstrated that CyC production was associated with COVID-specific mortality (p=0.0007). Our findings suggest that CyC may be useful for stratification of patients and it has functional role in the host response to COVID-19.

Multi-ancestry fine mapping implicates OAS1 splicing in risk of severe COVID-19.

The OAS1/2/3 cluster has been identified as a risk locus for severe COVID-19 among individuals of European ancestry, with a protective haplotype of approximately 75 kilobases (kb) derived from Neanderthals in the chromosomal region 12q24.13. This haplotype contains a splice variant of OAS1, which occurs in people of African ancestry independently of gene flow from Neanderthals. Using trans-ancestry fine-mapping approaches in 20,779 hospitalized cases, we demonstrate that this splice variant is likely to be the SNP responsible for the association at this locus, thus strongly implicating OAS1 as an effector gene influencing COVID-19 severity.

Elevated Neutrophil Gelatinase-Associated Lipocalin Is Associated With the Severity of Kidney Injury and Poor Prognosis of Patients With COVID-19.

INTRODUCTION: Loss of kidney function is a common feature of COVID-19 infection, but serum creatinine (SCr) is not a sensitive or specific marker of kidney injury. We tested whether molecular biomarkers of tubular injury measured at hospital admission were associated with acute kidney injury (AKI) in those with COVID-19 infection. METHODS: This is a prospective cohort observational study consisting of 444 consecutive patients with SARS-CoV-2 enrolled in the Columbia University emergency department (ED) at the peak of the pandemic in New York (March 2020-April 2020). Urine and blood were collected simultaneously at hospital admission (median time: day 0, interquartile range: 0-2 days), and urine biomarkers were analyzed by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) and a novel dipstick. Kidney biopsies were probed for biomarker RNA and for histopathologic acute tubular injury (ATI) scores. RESULTS: Admission urinary neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (uNGAL) level was associated with AKI diagnosis (267 ± 301 vs. 96 ± 139 ng/ml, P < 0.0001) and staging; uNGAL levels >150 ng/ml had 80% specificity and 75% sensitivity to diagnose AKI stages 2 to 3. Admission uNGAL level quantitatively associated with prolonged AKI, dialysis, shock, prolonged hospitalization, and in-hospital death, even when admission SCr level was not elevated. The risk of dialysis increased almost 4-fold per SD of uNGAL independently of baseline SCr, comorbidities, and proteinuria (odds ratio [OR] [95% CI]: 3.59 [1.83-7.45], P < 0.001). In the kidneys of those with COVID-19, NGAL mRNA expression broadened in parallel with severe histopathologic injury (ATI). Conversely, low uNGAL levels at admission ruled out stages 2 to 3 AKI (negative predictive value: 0.95, 95% CI: 0.92-0.97) and the need for dialysis (negative predictive value: 0.98, 95% CI: 0.96-0.99). Although proteinuria and urinary (u)KIM-1 were implicated in tubular injury, neither was diagnostic of AKI stages. CONCLUSION: In the patients with COVID-19, uNGAL level was quantitatively associated with histopathologic injury (ATI), loss of kidney function (AKI), and severity of patient outcomes.

Age-dependent impact of the major common genetic risk factor for COVID-19 on severity and mortality.

BackgroundThere is considerable variability in COVID-19 outcomes among younger adults, and some of this variation may be due to genetic predisposition.MethodsWe combined individual level data from 13,888 COVID-19 patients (n = 7185 hospitalized) from 17 cohorts in 9 countries to assess the association of the major common COVID-19 genetic risk factor (chromosome 3 locus tagged by rs10490770) with mortality, COVID-19-related complications, and laboratory values. We next performed metaanalyses using FinnGen and the Columbia University COVID-19 Biobank.ResultsWe found that rs10490770 risk allele carriers experienced an increased risk of all-cause mortality (HR, 1.4; 95% CI, 1.2-1.7). Risk allele carriers had increased odds of several COVID-19 complications: severe respiratory failure (OR, 2.1; 95% CI, 1.6-2.6), venous thromboembolism (OR, 1.7; 95% CI, 1.2-2.4), and hepatic injury (OR, 1.5; 95% CI, 1.2-2.0). Risk allele carriers age 60 years and younger had higher odds of death or severe respiratory failure (OR, 2.7; 95% CI, 1.8-3.9) compared with those of more than 60 years (OR, 1.5; 95% CI, 1.2-1.8; interaction, P = 0.038). Among individuals 60 years and younger who died or experienced severe respiratory failure, 32.3% were risk-variant carriers compared with 13.9% of those not experiencing these outcomes. This risk variant improved the prediction of death or severe respiratory failure similarly to, or better than, most established clinical risk factors.ConclusionsThe major common COVID-19 genetic risk factor is associated with increased risks of morbidity and mortality, which are more pronounced among individuals 60 years or younger. The effect was similar in magnitude and more common than most established clinical risk factors, suggesting potential implications for future clinical risk management.

Association of rare predicted loss-of-function variants of influenza-related type I IFN genes with critical COVID-19 pneumonia/Reply

[...]the power computation shown in their Figure 1 is based on an incorrect hypothesis about the odds ratio, which would be expected to be lower when using general population controls (as they did) than when using paucisymptomatic and asymptomatic infected individuals (as we did). (iv) The ethnic origin of the patients differs between the 2 studies: 58% of our 659 patients (and 8 of our 9 pLOF carriers) were European, versus only 10% of their 713 patients with severe disease (and the pLOF carrier was East Asian). (v) Age is a key factor neglected in their comparison: our sample was much younger (mean age, 51.8 years) than theirs (mean, 65.9 years), and 7 of our 9 pLOF carriers were younger than 60 years. Because the rates of pLOFs vary considerably across populations, adjustment for only 3 principal components of ancestry in rare-variant association tests of multiethnic cohorts does not provide adequate control for population structure. [...]none of the associations showed even marginal significance. [...]consistent with our study, these findings do not support substantial contributions of inborn errors in type I IFN immunity to COVID-19 severity.

Early detection of SARS-CoV-2 and other infections in solid organ transplant recipients and household members using wearable devices.

The increasing global prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 and the resulting COVID-19 disease pandemic pose significant concerns for clinical management of solid organ transplant recipients (SOTR). Wearable devices that can measure physiologic changes in biometrics including heart rate, heart rate variability, body temperature, respiratory, activity (such as steps taken per day) and sleep patterns, and blood oxygen saturation show utility for the early detection of infection before clinical presentation of symptoms. Recent algorithms developed using preliminary wearable datasets show that SARS-CoV-2 is detectable before clinical symptoms in >80% of adults. Early detection of SARS-CoV-2, influenza, and other pathogens in SOTR, and their household members, could facilitate early interventions such as self-isolation and early clinical management of relevant infection(s). Ongoing studies testing the utility of wearable devices such as smartwatches for early detection of SARS-CoV-2 and other infections in the general population are reviewed here, along with the practical challenges to implementing these processes at scale in pediatric and adult SOTR, and their household members. The resources and logistics, including transplant-specific analyses pipelines to account for confounders such as polypharmacy and comorbidities, required in studies of pediatric and adult SOTR for the robust early detection of SARS-CoV-2, and other infections are also reviewed.