ABSTRACT
A small state in Northeast, Mizoram, with credentials in education sector similar to Kerala, like Kerala is attracting attention for the wrong reason; the high COVID-19 case load. So, what may be driving the high case load in these high literacy level states. Is the low mortality level (due to COVID-19) leading to a lack of emphasizing caution to prevent infection transmission behind this surge?
ABSTRACT
Arguably the worst health crisis in recent memory, Covid19 has been a great masterclass, albeit at a cost which no individual or nation would have wanted to afford. Besides other, what are the lessons for the academic medicine in general and primary care, community medicine, family medicine and public health in particular? Perhaps, identifying the roles of each in the healthcare system and building a thought process around these roles is the way forward. Only then will we have a chance to fight a pandemic like the Covid-19.
ABSTRACT
COVID-19 pandemic has involved nations and incapacitated the health systems globally. The pandemic preparedness has been tested with immense losses. Universal health coverage is needed more than ever to recuperate from the effects of the current pandemic. Post pandemic, many lessons need to be learnt especially for developing economies like India where public healthcare system is grossly inadequate to take care of health needs of citizens. World Health Organization's framework of six health system building blocks was utilized to study the lessons learnt and actionable points in the post pandemic period. Participation in Global Health Security Alliance has to be stepped up with involvement in Joint external evaluation and development of epidemiological core capacities. National Health Security Action Plan needs to drafted and available for health emergences. Ayushman Bharat scheme should incorporate elements to address surge capacity at the time of health emergencies and measures to deliver care at the time of pandemic. Technology through telemedicine, m-health, and digital platforms or apps should contribute to trainings, supervision, and facilitation of healthcare delivery at remote locations. Open data sharing policies should be developed for the practice of evidence-based public health. Public healthcare system and health manpower trained in epidemiology should be given a boost to have system readiness to respond in case of future pandemics.
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Lockdown effectively can only result in relative freezing of populations that is expected to slow down the disease spread rather than zeroing it. Flattening of epidemic curve Current analysis was carried out to observe a pattern in the rise of CoVID-19 cases along with concurrent announcements of strategies to control the spread of disease. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Data in from of daily number of cases and issued notifications were studied from the official website of Government of India from 30/01/2020 to 03/05/2020. Qualitative assessment with thematic analysis was carried out for notifications issued by the government. The fit to data on cumulative cases was observed with R2 and checked for linearity, logarithmic, polynomial, and exponential growth. Daily growth fraction (Gt) was calculated based on the difference between current and previous number of cases, thereafter daily doubling time (Td(t)) was estimated. RESULTS: Daily reported cases were entered and cumulative growth of cases observed with a polynomial increasing pattern (third-order) with better fit (R2: 0.999). Total 108 notifications were issued, and as compared to phase-0 and 1 (87.0%), few (12.9%) notifications were issued in phase-2 of study period. As compared to phase-0 and 1, rising trend of cumulative cases and Td(t) was high in phase-2. CONCLUSION: Across phases of lockdown along with a rising trend of COVID-19 cases, the country has managed to increase the doubling time of cases with an effort to flatten the epidemic curve.
ABSTRACT
INTRODUCTION: Climate change has been known to influence infectious diseases. The reason for this being the fact; disease agents and their vectors each have particular environments that are optimal for growth, survival, transport, and dissemination. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The WHO's website was accessed to look for the Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) situation dashboard and comprehensively study and assess the report. An attempt was made to look for countries, areas or territories with maximum and minimum number of cases of lab confirmed COVID cases. Further, we entered the words "Climate" in google for each of the aforementioned countries and searched for the results. A comparison was established by including countries from both the hemispheres (northern and southern). The preliminary analysis was based on the reports from countries with established testing facilities for Covid-19. RESULTS: The report suggests that countries with higher number of cases are the countries with cold weather. These are also the countries with low humidity which could be favoring the transmission and survival of the SARS-COV-2. CONCLUSIONS: The results though preliminary point to a pattern which favors the hypothesis that the extensive spread of Covid-19 maybe limited by temperature and humidity.