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Studies in Systems, Decision and Control ; 383:25-37, 2022.
Article in English | Scopus | ID: covidwho-1442050

ABSTRACT

The 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) outbreak is declared as a pandemic by the World Health Organization. This chapter presents a simplified approach of the 2019-nCoV outbreak in Malaysia, based on a simple mathematical model and limited reference data. The profound model predictions is based on the actual data on the date of confirmation excluding deaths, considering the recovered will have the possibility to get infected again. The 14 days incubation characteristics are used in the computations as pronounced by CDC to improve the prediction characteristics. This includes the four stages of recovery characteristics in any pandemic cases towards cluster segregation, contact tracing towards flattening the growth curve. The model from china was taken as reference and the Malaysian recovery phase analyses and compared with the measures in place. The computational approach for the dataset available is presented and the similarity measure is a good reference point in handling the pandemic of this size in future. © 2022, Institute of Technology PETRONAS Sdn Bhd.

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