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1.
International Review of Economics & Finance ; 2022.
Article in English | ScienceDirect | ID: covidwho-1712715

ABSTRACT

Motivated by the COVID-19 pandemic, we construct a single factor predictive model for stock returns that incorporates uncertainty index for pandemics and epidemics (UPE). Specifically, we examine whether Islamic stocks are either vulnerable or have better hedge potential when compared to the performance of their conventional counterparts. In general, we find that the Islamic stocks can be used to hedge whereas the conventional stocks are seen to be vulnerable to uncertainty due to pandemics across different time periods. In particular, during COVID-19 pandemic, although the hedging effectiveness of Islamic stock seems to decline, it is still better compared to the worse performance of the conventional stocks. The outcome remains the same even after controlling our model for oil price, geopolitical risk and economic policy uncertainty. We further evaluate the predictive power of the UPE both for the in-sample and out-of-sample periods by comparing its forecast performance with that of a benchmark model. Our results suggest that the consideration of the UPE information in the valuation of stocks is crucial for investment decisions.

3.
Contemporary Economics ; 15(Special Issue):1-18, 2021.
Article in English | ProQuest Central | ID: covidwho-1110639

ABSTRACT

The COVID-19 pandemic, declared on March 11, 2020 by the World Health Organisation (WHO), has had a severe economic and financial impact on every economy around the world. This paper aims to analyze the short-term impact of COVID-19 on global financial stock market indices. We study the impact of six different WHO announcements regarding COVID-19 on five different sectors (Pharma, Healthcare, Information Technology, Hotel & Airline) based on the indices of three different economies (World, Developed and Emerging economy). We also study the movement of stock prices and volume of nine different global stock market indices (classified as developed & emerging) based on the number of new cases and deaths due to COVID-19. The study’s findings suggest that there is a significant effect of COVID-19 on global financial stock markets. However, the effect is varied for developed and emerging economies.

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