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Informs Journal on Applied Analytics ; : 16, 2022.
Article in English | Web of Science | ID: covidwho-1886976


This study examines the impact of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVTD-19) test accuracy (i.e., sensitivity and specificity) on the progression of the pandemic under two scenarios of limited and unlimited test capacity. We extend the classic susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered model to incorporate test accuracy and compare the progression of the pandemic under various sensitivities and specificities. We find that high-sensitivity tests effectively reduce the total number of infections only with sufficient testing capacity. Nevertheless, with limited test capacity and a relatively high cross-infection rate, the total number of infected cases may increase when sensitivity is above a certain threshold. Despite the potential for higher sensitivity tests to identify more infected individuals, more false positive cases occur, which wastes limited testing capacity, slowing down the detection of infected cases. Our findings reveal that improving test sensitivity alone does not always lead to effective pandemic control, indicating that policymakers should balance the trade-off between high sensitivity and high false positive rates when designing containment measures for infectious diseases, such as COVID-19, particularly when navigating limited test capacity.

Jundishapur Journal of Microbiology ; 14(2), 2021.
Article in English | EMBASE | ID: covidwho-1359387


Introduction: Mycobacterium mucogenicum belongs to the rapidly growing mycobacteria, and it is a rare conditional pathogen. Although recent studies suggested that the incidence of M. mucogenicum infection was increased worldwide, there are no case reports of M. mucogenicum and Klebsiella pneumoniae pulmonary infection. Case Presentation: A 32-year-old non-smoking male was diagnosed with congenital atrial septal defect and pulmonary arterial hypertension. After cardiac surgery, lung infections were observed in the patient and then rapidly developed acute respiratory distress syndrome. The cefoperazone and sulbactam, vancomycin, ceftazidime, carbapenem, tigecycline, and micafungin were used for the treatment of pulmonary infection but did not affect. Ultimately, M. mucogenicum and K. pneumoniae were identified as pathogens by using next-generation sequencing. The patient was treated successfully with the administration of clarithromycin, linezolid, tigecycline, and ceftazidime-avibactam. The clinical outcome of this patient was favorable without relapse of infection. Conclusions: This case demonstrates that M. mucogenicum pulmonary infection may result in severe outcomes. The next-generation sequencing technology is important for the identification of M. mucogenicum. Additionally, the clinicians and clinical pharmacists should remain awareness in dealing with M. mucogenicum infection to avoid delaying appropriate treatment.