ABSTRACT
PurposeIn the light of high reliance on digital technology to mitigate the consequences of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic and its containment measures, this study investigates the factors influencing firms' decision to adopt digital technologies during COVID-19 in four Middle East and Northern African (MENA) countries, namely, Egypt, Jordan, Morocco and Tunisia.Design/methodology/approachThe study used the International Labour Organization (ILO)/Economic Research Forum (ERF) COVID-19 - MENA Monitor Enterprise Survey (CMMENT), comprising 5,480 firms, surveyed during 2020-2021. The empirical model is estimated using the linear probability model (LPM) to address the problem of unobserved heterogeneity between firms, countries, and time.FindingsThe results revealed that firm characteristics, such as firm size and foreign ownership, encourage digital transformation in the business sector. Moreover, firms that face challenges during the pandemic, comply with the containment measures, and receive government assistance are more likely to adopt digital solutions. Furthermore, the results indicated that firms operating in services sector have a higher likelihood to adopt digital technology. Disaggregating the total sample into several sub-samples, the results are robust across countries and technology types, supporting the initial hypothesis that COVID-19 encourages digital transformation in the MENA region.Originality/valueThe study has numerous contributions. First, to the best of the authors' knowledge, this is the sole study that uses micro data collected during the COVID-19 to examine the factors influencing firms' decision to adopt and invest in digital solutions in the MENA countries. Second, the paper employs the LPM estimator to address the issue of unobserved heterogeneity between firms, countries and time. Finally, the paper offers some practical recommendations for accelerating digital transformation in MENA region.
ABSTRACT
This paper examines whether the economic crisis induced by the COVID-19 pandemic exhibits a Schumpeterian "cleansing” of less productive firms. Using firm-level data collected for 34 economies up to 18 months into the crisis, the study finds that less productive firms have a higher probability of permanently closing during the crisis, suggesting that the process of cleansing out unproductive activities is occurring. The paper also uncovers strong and negative relationships of firm exit with digital presence and with innovation. These relationships are driven by small firms. The study further finds that a burdensome business environment increases the probability of firm exit, also driven by small firms, and that a negative relationship exists between firm exit and age. Finally, evidence shows that the cleansing process is disrupted in countries which have introduced policies imposing a moratorium on insolvency procedures.Plain English SummaryThe purpose of this analysis is to investigate whether firms that are more productive are less likely to cease operation during the economic crisis induced by the COVID-19 pandemic. To verify this hypothesis, the paper uses data on firm characteristics, productivity, and status of operation from 34 countries. The data on firm characteristics and productivity were collected before the crisis, while data on the operating status were collected within 18 months since the appearance of the coronavirus. The results of the paper show that indeed, more productive firms are more likely to survive the crisis. In addition, businesses that have been in operation for longer, or ones which have a website or have introduced a new product in the years before the crisis are more likely to continue existing. The positive role of digitalization and innovation is true especially for small firms. Conversely, those businesses which have to spend more time in compliance with government regulations are less likely to survive. The policy implications show the importance of digitalization and innovation, the vulnerabilities of small firms, and the significance of good governance.