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3.
PLoS One ; 16(4): e0249852, 2021.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1190167

ABSTRACT

This paper employs the multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis (MF-DCCA) model to estimate the nonlinear relationship between the money market rate and stock market liquidity in China from a multifractal perspective, leading to a better understanding of the complexity in the relationship between the interest rate and stock market liquidity. The empirical results show that the cross-correlations between the money market rate and stock market liquidity present antipersistence in the long run and that they tend to be positively persistent in the short run. The negative cross-correlations between the interest rate and stock market liquidity are more significant than the positive cross-correlations. Furthermore, the cross-correlations between the money market rate and stock market liquidity display multifractal characteristics, explaining the variations in the relationship between the interest rate and stock market liquidity at different time scales. In addition, the lower degree of multifractality in the cross-correlations between the money market rate and stock market liquidity confirms that it is effective for the interest rate to control stock market liquidity. The Chinese stock market liquidity is more sensitive to fluctuations in the money market rate in the short term and is inelastic in response to the money market rate in the long term. In particular, the positive cross-correlations between the money market rate and stock market liquidity in the short run become strong in periods of crises and emergencies. All the evidence proves that the interest rate policy is an emergency response rather than an effective response to mounting concerns regarding the economic impact of unexpected exogenous emergencies and that the interest rate cut policy will not be as effective as expected.


Subject(s)
Commerce/economics , Financial Management/economics , Models, Economic , China , Nonlinear Dynamics
7.
Health Aff (Millwood) ; 39(9): 1633-1642, 2020 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-671627

ABSTRACT

A widely accessible vaccine is essential to mitigate the health and economic ravages of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Without appropriate incentives and coordination, however, firms might not respond at sufficient speed or scale, and competition among countries for limited supply could drive up prices and undercut efficient allocation. Programs relying on "push" incentives (direct cost reimbursement) can be complicated by the funder's inability to observe firms' private cost information. To address these challenges, we propose a "pull" program that incentivizes late-stage development (Phase III trials and manufacturing) for COVID-19 vaccines by awarding advance purchase agreements to bidding firms. Using novel cost and demand data, we calculated the optimal size and number of awards. In baseline simulations, the optimal program induced the participation of virtually all ten viable vaccine candidates, spending an average of $110 billion to generate net benefits of $2.8 trillion-nearly double the net benefits generated by the free market.


Subject(s)
Coronavirus Infections/prevention & control , Financial Management/economics , Marketing of Health Services , Pandemics/prevention & control , Pneumonia, Viral/prevention & control , Viral Vaccines/economics , Viral Vaccines/pharmacology , COVID-19 , Coronavirus Infections/epidemiology , Drug Industry , Female , Global Health , Humans , Male , Pneumonia, Viral/epidemiology
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