The aggregate index of systemic inflammation may predict mortality in COVID-19 patients with chronic renal failure.

OBJECTIVE: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2), was first detected in December 2019 and then spread globally, resulting in a pandemic. Initially, it was unknown if chronic kidney disease (CKD) contributed to the mortality caused by COVID-19. The immunosuppression associated with this disease may minimize the COVID-19-described hyper-inflammatory state or immunological dysfunction, and a high prevalence of comorbidities may lead to a poorer clinical prognosis. Patients with COVID-19 have abnormal circulating blood cells associated with inflammation. Risk stratification, diagnosis, and prognosis primarily rely on hematological features, such as white blood cells and their subpopulations, red cell distribution width, mean platelet volume, and platelet count, in addition to their combined ratios. In non-small-cell lung cancer, the aggregate index of systemic inflammation (AISI), (neutrophils x monocytes x platelets/lymphocytes) is evaluated. In light of the relevance of inflammation in mortality, the objective of this study is to determine the impact of AISI on the hospital mortality of CKD patients. PATIENTS AND METHODS: This study is an observational retrospective study. Data and test outcomes of all CKD patients, stages 3-5, hospitalized for COVID-19 and followed between April and October 2021 were analyzed. RESULTS: Patients were divided into two groups according to death (Group 1-Alive, Group 2-Died). Neutrophil count, AISI and C-reactive protein (CRP) levels were increased in Group-2 [10.3±4.6 vs. 7.65±4.22; p=0.001, 2,084.1 (364.8-2,577.5) vs. 628.9 (53.1-2,275); p=0.00 and 141.9 (20.5-318) vs. 84.75 (0.92-195); p=0.00; respectively]. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis demonstrated 621.1 as a cut-off value for AISI to predict hospital mortality with 81% sensitivity and 69.1% specificity [area under ROC curve 0.820 (95% CI: 0.733-0.907), p<.005]. Cox regression analysis was used to analyze the effect of risk variables on survival. In survival analysis, AISI and CRP were identified as important survival predictors [hazard ratio (HR): 1.001, 95% CI: 1-1.001; p=0.00 and HR: 1.009, 95% CI: 1.004-1.013; p=0.00]. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrated the discriminative effectiveness of AISI in predicting disease mortality in COVID-19 patients with CKD. Quantification of AISI upon admission might assist in the early detection and treatment of individuals with a bad prognosis.

What data collection methods work best for COVID19 outbreak surveillance for people with end stage kidney disease? An observational cohort study using the UK Renal Registry.

BACKGROUND: Patients on kidney replacement therapy (KRT) are vulnerable to severe illness from COVID-19. Timely, accurate surveillance is essential for planning and implementing infection control at local, regional and national levels. Our aim was to compare two methods of data collection for COVID-19 infections amongst KRT patients in England. METHODS: Adults receiving KRT in England were linked to two sources of data on positive COVID-19 tests recorded March-August 2020: (1) submissions from renal centres to the UK Renal Registry (UKRR) and (2) Public Health England (PHE) laboratory data. Patient characteristics, cumulative incidence by modality (in-centre haemodialysis (ICHD), home HD, peritoneal dialysis (PD) and transplant), and 28-day survival were compared between the two sources. RESULTS: 2,783/54,795 patients (5.1%) had a positive test in the combined UKRR-PHE dataset. Of these 2,783, 87% had positive tests in both datasets. Capture was consistently high for PHE (> 95% across modalities) but varied for UKRR (ranging from ICHD 95% to transplant 78%, p < 0.0001). Patients captured only by PHE were more likely to be on transplant or home therapies (OR 3.5 95% CI [2.3-5.2] vs. ICHD) and to be infected in later months (OR 3.3 95%CI [2.4-4.6] for May-June, OR 6.5 95%CI [3.8-11.3] for July-August, vs. March-April), compared to patients in both datasets. Stratified by modality, patient characteristics and 28-day survival were similar between datasets. CONCLUSIONS: For patients undergoing ICHD treatment the collection of data submitted directly by renal centres allows constant monitoring in real time. For other KRT modalities, using a national swab test dataset through frequent linkage may be the most effective method. Optimising central surveillance can improve patient care by informing interventions and assisting planning at local, regional and national levels.

Effects of comorbidities associated with COVID-19 cases in Intensive Care Unit on mortality and disease progression.

OBJECTIVE: The patient's age, gender and the presence of certain concomitant diseases have been reported to play a part in the course and progression of COVID-19 in the literature. In this study, we aimed to compare the comorbidities causing mortality in critically ill Intensive Care Unit (ICU)-patients diagnosed with COVID-19. PATIENTS AND METHODS: The data as regards the COVID-19 cases followed up in the ICU were retrospectively reviewed. 408 COVID-19 patients with positive PCR test were included in the study. In addition, a subgroup analysis was performed in patients treated with invasive mechanical ventilation. While the primary aim of this study was to evaluate the difference in survival rates due to comorbidities in critical COVID-19 patients, we also aimed to assess the comorbidities in severely intubated COVID-19 patients in terms of mortality. RESULTS: A statistically significant increase in mortality was observed in patients with underlying hematologic malignancy and chronic renal failure (p=0.027, 0.047). Body mass index value in the mortal group was significantly higher in both the general study group and subgroup analysis (p=0.004, 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Advanced age and comorbidities such as chronic renal failure and hematologic malignancy in COVID-19 patients are associated with poor survival prognosis in critically ill COVID-19 patients.

Platelet-albumin-bilirubin score and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio predict intensive care unit admission in patients with end-stage kidney disease infected with the Omicron variant of COVID-19: a single-center prospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: The objective of this study was to develop clinical scores to predict the risk of intensive care unit (ICU) admission in patients with COVID-19 and end stage kidney disease (ESKD). METHODS: This was a prospective study in which 100 patients with ESKD were enrolled and divided into two groups: the ICU group and the non-ICU group. We utilized univariate logistic regression and nonparametric statistics to analyze the clinical characteristics and liver function changes of both groups. By plotting receiver operating characteristic curves, we identified clinical scores that could predict the risk of ICU admission. RESULTS: Out of the 100 patients with Omicron infection, 12 patients were transferred to the ICU due to disease aggravation, with an average of 9.08 days from hospitalization to ICU transfer. Patients transferred to the ICU more commonly experienced shortness of breath, orthopnea, and gastrointestinal bleeding. The peak liver function and changes from baseline in the ICU group were significantly higher, with p values <.05. We found that the baseline platelet-albumin-bilirubin score (PALBI) and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) were good predictors of ICU admission risk, with area under curve values of 0.713 and 0.770, respectively. These scores were comparable to the classic Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE-II) score (p > .05). CONCLUSION: Patients with ESKD and Omicron infection who are transferred to the ICU are more likely to have abnormal liver function. The baseline PALBI and NLR scores can better predict the risk of clinical deterioration and early transfer to the ICU for treatment.

Home dialysis: conclusions from a Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) Controversies Conference.

Home dialysis modalities (home hemodialysis [HD] and peritoneal dialysis [PD]) are associated with greater patient autonomy and treatment satisfaction compared with in-center modalities, yet the level of home-dialysis use worldwide is low. Reasons for limited utilization are context-dependent, informed by local resources, dialysis costs, access to healthcare, health system policies, provider bias or preferences, cultural beliefs, individual lifestyle concerns, potential care-partner time, and financial burdens. In May 2021, KDIGO (Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes) convened a controversies conference on home dialysis, focusing on how modality choice and distribution are determined and strategies to expand home-dialysis use. Participants recognized that expanding use of home dialysis within a given health system requires alignment of policy, fiscal resources, organizational structure, provider incentives, and accountability. Clinical outcomes across all dialysis modalities are largely similar, but for specific clinical measures, one modality may have advantages over another. Therefore, choice among available modalities is preference-sensitive, with consideration of quality of life, life goals, clinical characteristics, family or care-partner support, and living environment. Ideally, individuals, their care-partners, and their healthcare teams will employ shared decision-making in assessing initial and subsequent kidney failure treatment options. To meet this goal, iterative, high-quality education and support for healthcare professionals, patients, and care-partners are priorities. Everyone who faces dialysis should have access to home therapy. Facilitating universal access to home dialysis and expanding utilization requires alignment of policy considerations and resources at the dialysis-center level, with clear leadership from informed and motivated clinical teams.

Effect of Lymphocyte Phenotypic Alterations on the Humoral Response to Vaccination Against SARS-COV-2 in Dialysis Patients.

Background: The response to vaccination against severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) varies depending on comorbidities. This study evaluated the clinical and immunological factors affecting the humoral response of patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD) to the BNT162b2 vaccine. Methods: Humoral immunity was evaluated in 54 ESRD patients using serum levels of anti-receptor-binding domain (RBD) and neutralizing antibodies (NAbs), measured by a chemiluminescent immunoassay 30 (T1), 60 (T2), and 120 (T3) days after the second vaccine dose. The results were correlated to baseline patient T- and B-lymphocyte subpopulations determined by flow cytometry. Results: The proportion of seroconverted patients based on the NAb titer decreased from 83.3% at T1 to 53.7% at T3. Age was negatively correlated to the NAb titer at T1 and T2. Patients receiving hemodiafiltration had higher NAb titers at T3. Diabetes was associated with a lower response rate at T3. Univariate analysis revealed a positive correlation between the naïve CD4 T-lymphocyte population and RBD titer at T1 and the NAb titer at T3, with no association observed with naïve CD8 T lymphocytes. NAb titers at T3 were significantly correlated with late-differentiated CD4 T lymphocytes and terminally differentiated effector memory cells re-expressing CD45RA (TEMRA) CD8 T lymphocytes. RBD levels were positively correlated with naïve and memory B-lymphocyte counts at T3. Conclusions: Age, diabetes, and hemodialysis prescription had significant impacts on the response to vaccination. T- and B-lymphocyte phenotypes are major determinants of the humoral response potency to SARS-CoV-2 vaccination with BNT162b2 in patients with ESRD.

Brazilian Dialysis Survey 2020.

INTRODUCTION: National data on chronic dialysis treatment are essential to support the development of health policies aimed at improving the treatment for thousands of people. OBJECTIVE: To report epidemiological data from the 2020 Brazilian Dialysis Survey, sponsored by the Brazilian Society of Nephrology. METHODS: A survey was carried out in Brazilian chronic dialysis centers using an online questionnaire for the year, covering clinical and epidemiological aspects of patients in a chronic dialysis program, data on dialysis therapy, characteristics of dialysis units and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. RESULTS: 235 (28%) of the centers responded to the questionnaire. In July 2020, the estimated total number of patients on dialysis was 144,779. The estimated prevalence and incidence rates of patients per million population (pmp) were 684 and 209, respectively. Of the prevalent patients, 92.6% were on hemodialysis (HD) and 7.4% were on peritoneal dialysis (PD); 23% were on the transplant waiting list. A central venous catheter was used by a quarter of patients on HD. The incidence rate of confirmed COVID-19 between February and July 2020 was 684/10,000 dialysis patients, and the lethality rate was 25.7%. The estimated overall mortality and COVID-19 crude annual mortality rates were 24.5 and 4.2%, respectively. CONCLUSION: The absolute number of patients on chronic dialysis and prevalence rate continued to increase. The low use of PD as dialysis therapy was maintained and the use of long-term catheters for HD increased. The COVID-19 pandemic contributed to the increase in the overall mortality rate.

Home Hemodialysis: Core Curriculum 2021.

In the early days of dialysis, because of a lack of existing in-center infrastructure, home hemodialysis (HHD) was frequently used to expand dialysis programs. Recently, HHD has been thrust into the spotlight of kidney care programs once again. Patients and policymakers are demanding more choices for the management of kidney failure while controlling for cost. Perhaps it is not surprising that the kidney community's interest in HHD has been revived, especially during the COVID-19 pandemic. To meet this increased interest and demand, nephrologists and dialysis providers must embrace new technologies and improve their understanding of HHD systems. This installment of AJKD's Core Curriculum in Nephrology seeks to inform the reader about factors that can improve success in the training and retention of HHD patients. Benefits, pitfalls, and challenges of HHD are outlined. The features of novel and commonly used HHD equipment are also summarized. Examples of prescriptions and prescription adjustments to meet the needs of patients will also be reviewed. Finally, considerations related to medical management of HHD patients and their dialysis access at home are also included. HHD is an important tool for the management and rehabilitation of patients with kidney failure, which allows for patient-centered care and increased patient choice.

COVID-19 in kidney transplant recipients.

There is minimal information on coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in immunocompromised individuals. We have studied 10 patients treated at 12 adult care hospitals. Ten kidney transplant recipients tested positive for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) by polymerase chain reaction, and 9 were admitted. The median age was 57 (interquartile range [IQR] 47-67), 60% were male, 40% Caucasian, and 30% Black/African American. Median time from transplant to COVID-19 testing was 2822 days (IQR 1272-4592). The most common symptom was fever, followed by cough, myalgia, chills, and fatigue. The most common chest X-ray and computed tomography abnormality was multifocal patchy opacities. Three patients had no abnormal findings. Leukopenia was seen in 20% of patients, and allograft function was stable in 50% of patients. Nine patients were on tacrolimus and a mycophenolic antimetabolite, and 70% were on prednisone. Hospitalized patients had their antimetabolite agent stopped. All hospitalized patients received hydroxychloroquine and azithromycin. Three patients died (30%), and 5 (50%) developed acute kidney injury. Kidney transplant recipients infected with COVID-19 should be monitored closely in the setting of lowered immunosuppression. Most individuals required hospitalization and presenting symptoms were similar to those of nontransplant individuals.

One-year all-cause mortality in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 and end-stage renal disease undergoing hemodialysis.

INTRODUCTION: Patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD) on dialysis and COVID-19 infection have an increased risk of in-hospital mortality, but whether these patients have a higher long-term mortality risk is unknown. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Retrospective chart review of 958 patients admitted with COVID-19 infection or those with ESRD admitted for any other reason between February 2020 and August 2020. We collected data on demographics, comorbidities, laboratory tests, and mortality. The primary outcome was all-cause 1-year mortality. The secondary outcome was in-hospital mortality. We used primarily logistic regression models to assess the mortality risk. RESULTS: In total, 651 patients without ESRD with COVID-19 (COVID+ESRD-), 259 with ESRD without COVID-19 (ESRD+COVID-), and 48 with ESRD with COVID-19 (COVID+ESRD+) were hospitalized between February 2020 and August 2020. Patients were followed after discharge until September 2021. The all-cause 1-year mortality rates were 24% in patients with COVID+ESRD-, 22% in ESRD+COVID- patients, and 40% in those with COVID+ESRD+ (p < 0.05). Compared to the COVID+ESRD- group, the unadjusted and adjusted odds ratio (OR) for all-cause 1-year mortality in the COVID+ESRD+ group was 2.13 (95% confidence interval (CI), 1.16 - 3.91) and 2.15 (95% CI,1.12 - 4.14), respectively. The unadjusted and adjusted OR for all-cause in-hospital mortality in the COVID+ESRD+ group was 1.79 (95% CI, 0.92 - 3.49); and 1.79 (95% CI, 0.88 - 3.65), respectively. We found no statistically significant difference between the COVID+ESRD- and ESRD+COVID- groups for both in-hospital and 1-year mortality (p > 0.05). CONCLUSION: Patients with COVID+ESRD+ have significantly higher odds for all-cause 1-year mortality compared to COVID+ESRD- patients. Future studies should investigate the mechanisms of long-term mortality risk in ESRD patients with COVID-19 infection.

Epidermolysis Bullosa Acquisita in a patient with End Stage Renal Disease: Case study.

The clinical presentation of COVID-19 varies from being asymptomatic to developing acute respiratory distress syndrome and multi-organ dysfunction. The diffuse microvascular thrombi in multiple organs seen in the autopsy of COVID-19 patients are similar to that of thrombotic microangiopathy (TMA). TMA is characterised by thrombus formation in the microvasculature with laboratory findings of microangiopathic haemolytic anaemia (MAHA) and thrombocytopenia. A 49-year-old male presented to the Aga Khan University Hospital, Karachi. with fever, diarrhoea, altered level of consciousness, and a positive nasopharyngeal swab for SARS-CoV-2. He developed severe thrombocytopenia, MAHA with 5.8% schistocytes, and worsening renal function on the sixth day of admission. Diagnosis of thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura (TTP) was established based on PLASMIC score, and he was successfully treated with intravenous (IV) Methylprednisolone, therapeutic plasma exchange and IV Rituximab. The case emphasises the need to keep TTP in the differential diagnosis when a patient with COVID-19 develops severe thrombocytopenia, acute renal failure, or impaired level of consciousness, since prompt diagnosis and treatment is necessary to gain favourable outcome.

A pilot trial of Thymalfasin (Ta1) to prevent covid-19 infection and morbidities in renal dialysis patients: Preliminary report.

PURPOSE: Patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD) on hemodialysis (HD) are considered particularly susceptible to infection with SARS-CoV2 on the basis of the immunodeficiency associated with advanced age, comorbidity burden, medication use, and need for frequent visits to dialysis clinics. In prior studies, thymalfasin (thymosin alpha 1, Ta1) has been shown to enhance antibody response to influenza vaccine and reduce influenza infection in geriatric populations, including hemodialysis patients, when used as an adjunct to influenza vaccine. Early in the COVID-19 pandemic we speculated that administration of Ta1 to HD patients would result in reduced rate and severity of COVID-19 infection. We also hypothesized that HD patients treated with Ta1 who did become infected with COVID-19 would have a milder course of infection in terms of hospitalization rates, requirement for and length of ICU stays, requirement for mechanical ventilation, and survival. Further, we proposed that patients who avoided COVID-19 infection during the study would have decreased non-COVID-19 infections and hospitalizations compared to controls. PROCEDURES: The study launched in January 2021 and, as of July 1, 2022, 254 ESRD/ HD patients from five dialysis centers in Kansas City, MO have been screened. Of these, 194 patients have been randomized 1:1 to either Group A (1.6 mg Ta1 given subcutaneously twice weekly for 8 weeks), or Group B (control group not receiving Ta1). After the 8-week treatment period, subjects were followed for an additional 4 months and monitored for safety and efficacy. A data safely monitoring board reviewed all reported adverse effects and commented on study progress. RESULTS: To date, only 3 deaths have occurred in subjects treated with Ta1 (Group A), compared to 7 in the control (Group B). There have been 12 COVID-19 related serious adverse effects (SAEs; 5 in Group A, and 7 in Group B). The majority of patients have received a COVID-19 vaccine (91 patients in group A, and 76 patients in Group B) at various times throughout the study. Nearing completion of the study, blood samples have been collected and antibody responses to COVID-19 will be analyzed along with safety and efficacy endpoints when all subjects have completed the study.

Novel Aspects of the Immune Response Involved in the Peritoneal Damage in Chronic Kidney Disease Patients under Dialysis.

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) incidence is growing worldwide, with a significant percentage of CKD patients reaching end-stage renal disease (ESRD) and requiring kidney replacement therapies (KRT). Peritoneal dialysis (PD) is a convenient KRT presenting benefices as home therapy. In PD patients, the peritoneum is chronically exposed to PD fluids containing supraphysiologic concentrations of glucose or other osmotic agents, leading to the activation of cellular and molecular processes of damage, including inflammation and fibrosis. Importantly, peritonitis episodes enhance peritoneum inflammation status and accelerate peritoneal injury. Here, we review the role of immune cells in the damage of the peritoneal membrane (PM) by repeated exposure to PD fluids during KRT as well as by bacterial or viral infections. We also discuss the anti-inflammatory properties of current clinical treatments of CKD patients in KRT and their potential effect on preserving PM integrity. Finally, given the current importance of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) disease, we also analyze here the implications of this disease in CKD and KRT.

Renal Autologous Cell Therapy in Type 2 Diabetes with Late Stage 4 Diabetes-Related Chronic Kidney Disease: Trial Design and Early Analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Cell-based therapies potentially delay the trajectory toward end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) in late stage 4 diabetic chronic kidney disease (DKD). We describe the trial design, baseline patient characteristics, and early results of an IRB-approved phase II multicenter clinical trial, utilizing Renal Autologous Cell Therapy (REACT) in adults with pre-ESKD due to type 2 DKD. The trial objectives were safety and tolerability of REACT by assessment of the procedure, product administration, and renal-specific adverse events in addition to evaluate the impact on renal function following injection. METHODS: Ten adults with an eGFR of 14-20 mL/min/1.73 m2 were enrolled in a single-arm open-label trial. Following a percutaneous kidney biopsy, an ex vivo expansion of selected renal cells that form the REACT was injected into the cortex of the biopsied kidney with CT image guidance. Each participant received two doses of the REACT product at 6-month intervals. A 6-month observation pre-trial was required to establish patients' "own" baseline and rate of DKD progression. RESULTS: Five men and 5 women underwent 19 REACT injections (1 participant received only one injection). Their baseline characteristics were as follows: 3 Hispanic/Latino, 7 non-Hispanic, 7 white; mean (SD) age: 58.9 years (5.22), BMI 35.8 (8.2), eGFR (sCR) 15.5 (2.72), eGFR (sCR + Cys-C) 17.7 (3.67) mL/min/1.73 m2, sCr 3.6 mg/mL (0.73), Cys-C 2.6 mg/mL (0.52), and log random UACR 7.9 mg/g (1.01). The pre- and post-injection eGFR slope was -6.5 mL/min/1.73 m2 and -3.9 mL/min/1.73 m2. No cell-related adverse events occurred, and two procedure-related hematomas required observation without transfusion or angiographic interventions. Dialysis was delayed a mean of 16 months (range 6-28 months). At 15 months, 2 patients (20%) have eGFR slope stability and have not commenced renal replacement therapy. CONCLUSION: Trials that include patients with an eGFR of <20 mL/min/1.73 m2 are uncommon, and none to date involve autologous homologous cell-based treatments. REACT has the potential to stabilize or delay dialysis in high-risk late stage 4 DKD.

Potent SARS-CoV2-specific T-cell response in asymptomatic hemodialysis patients with hidden COVID-19 infection history.

BACKGROUND: COVID-19-related immune responses in patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD) are characterized in detail by the humoral response, but their cellular immunity has not been clarified. Here, we evaluated virus-specific T cells in parallel with serology-related tests. METHODS: In this study, 104 ESRD patients at the hemodialysis ward of Imam Reza hospital at Tabriz (Iran) were enrolled. After blood sampling, SARS-CoV2-specific humoral and cellular immune responses were evaluated by SARS-CoV2-specific IgM/IgG ELISA and peptide/MHCI-Tetramers flow cytometry, respectively. RESULTS: Our results showed that 14 (13.5%) and 45 (43.3%) patients had specific SARS-CoV2 IgM and IgG in their sera, respectively. Immunophenotyping for SARS-CoV2-specific CD8+ T lymphocytes revealed that 68 (65.4%) patients had these types of cells. Among SARS-CoV2-specific CD8+ T lymphocytes positive subjects, 13 and 43 individuals had positive results for specific SARS-CoV2 IgM and IgG existence, respectively. Also, there was a relationship between specific SARS-CoV2 IgM (p = 0.031) and IgG (p < 0.0001) existence and having SARS-CoV2-specific TCD8+ lymphocytes in the studied population. CONCLUSION: Despite not having clinical symptoms, a high rate of SARS-CoV2-specific T-cell response in asymptomatic ESRD patients may reveal a high burden of asymptomatic COVID-19 infection in these patients.

Prevalence and predictors of outcomes among ESRD patients with COVID-19.

BACKGROUND: End-stage renal disease patients on hemodialysis (ESRD) patients are at high risk for contracting COVID-19. In this propensity matched cohort study, we examined the prevalence of COVID-19 in emergency room (ER) patients and examined whether clinical outcomes varied by ESRD status. METHODS: Patients who visited George Washington University Hospital ER from April 2020 to April 2021 were reviewed for COVID-19 and ESRD status. Among COVID-positive ER patients, the propensity for ESRD was calculated using a logistic regression model to create a propensity-matched sample of ESRD vs non-ESRD COVID-19 patients. A multivariable model examined whether ESRD was an independent predictor of death and other outcomes in COVID-19 patients. RESULTS: Among the 27,106 ER patients, 2689 of whom were COVID-positive (9.9%). The odds of testing positive for COVID-19 were 0.97 ([95% CI: 0.78-1.20], p = 0.76) in ESRD vs non-ESRD patients after adjusting for age, sex, and race. There were 2414 COVID-positive individuals with non-missing data, of which 98 were ESRD patients. In this COVID-positive sample, ESRD patients experienced a higher incidence of stroke, sepsis, and pneumonia than non-ESRD individuals. Significant independent predictors of death included age, race, sex, insurance status, and diabetes mellitus. Those with no insurance had odds of death that was 212% higher than those with private insurance (3.124 [1.695-5.759], p < 0.001). ESRD status was not an independent predictor of death (1.215 [0.623-2.370], p = 0.57). After propensity-matching in the COVID-positive patients, there were 95 ESRD patients matched with 283 non-ESRD individuals. In this sample, insurance status continued to be an independent predictor of mortality, while ESRD status was not. ESRD patients were more likely to have lactic acidosis (36% vs 15%) and length of hospital stay ≥ 7 days (48% vs 31%), but no increase in odds for any studied adverse outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: In ER patients, ESRD status was not associated with higher odds for testing positive for COVID-19. Among ER patients who were COVID positive, ESRD was not associated with mortality. However, insurance status had a strong and independent association with death among ER patients with COVID-19.

Comorbidity-stratified estimates of 30-day mortality risk by age for unvaccinated men and women with COVID-19: a population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The mortality risk following COVID-19 diagnosis in men and women with common comorbidities at different ages has been difficult to communicate to the general public. The purpose of this study was to determine the age at which unvaccinated men and women with common comorbidities have a mortality risk which exceeds that of 75- and 65-year-old individuals in the general population (Phases 1b/1c thresholds of the Centre for Disease Control Vaccine Rollout Recommendations) following COVID-19 infection during the first wave. METHODS: We conducted a population-based retrospective cohort study using linked administrative datasets in Ontario, Canada. We identified all community-dwelling adults diagnosed with COVID-19 between January 1 and October 31st, 2020. Exposures of interest were age (modelled using restricted cubic splines) and the following conditions: major cardiovascular disease (recent myocardial infarction or lifetime history of heart failure); 2) diabetes; 3) hypertension; 4) recent cancer; 5) chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; 6) Stages 4/5 chronic kidney disease (CKD); 7) frailty. Logistic regression in the full cohort was used to estimate the risk of 30-day mortality for 75- and 65-year-old individuals. Analyses were repeated after stratifying by sex and medical condition to determine the age at which 30-day morality risk in strata exceed that of the general population at ages 65 and 75 years. RESULTS: We studied 52,429 individuals (median age 42 years; 52.5% women) of whom 417 (0.8%) died within 30 days. The 30-day mortality risk increased with age, male sex, and comorbidities. The 65- and 75-year-old mortality risks in the general population were exceeded at the youngest age by people with CKD, cancer, and frailty. Conversely, women aged < 65 years who had diabetes or hypertension did not have higher mortality than 65-year-olds in the general population. Most people with medical conditions (except for Stage 4-5 CKD) aged < 45 years had lower predicted mortality than the general population at age 65 years. CONCLUSION: The mortality risk in COVID-19 increases with age and comorbidity but the prognostic implications varied by sex and condition. These observations can support communication efforts and inform vaccine rollout in jurisdictions with limited vaccine supplies.