Behavior of Long-distance Travel Mode Choice under the Duration of Public Health Emergencies

ABSTRACT

In order to analyze the effects of risk perception attribute on the long-distance travel mode choice behavior under the duration of public health emergencies, a multivariate Logit model is built for travel mode choice considering residents' risk perception difference. According to the 1 643 effective questionnaires collected from the internet during the COVID-19 in March 2020, the model parameters are calibrated using SPSS. The main risk perception factors affecting travelers' travel mode choices were obtained, and the sensitivity analysis of each factor was carried out. The results show that the prevention and control measures and the understanding of the measures have a significant influence on the choice of travel mode. Compared with air transportation, the increased exposure rate has a negative influence on the choice probability of railway transportation and a positive influence on the choice probability of road transportation. Keeping low air prices during the COVID-19 and increasing publicity of prevention and control measures for air transport can improve the choice probability of air transportation. Copyright © 2020 by Science Press.