Covid-19 pandemic: India is heading towards the first place

ABSTRACT

Introduction: COVID-19 created a huge impact across the globe with no partiality. Majority of the cities in India is affected. India was in good shape a few months back and now, it is affected badly. There may be various causes to this situation and by seeing the current number of cases, soon India is going to take the first place in COVID-19. It is important to study various factors around the current and future state of COVID-19 in India. Aim: The objective of this research paper is to explore the current state of COVID-19 pandemic of India and the USA and understand how the COVID-19 spread is severe in India. The secondary aim of the research is to predict the confirmed cases and death rates for the forthcoming days for the USA and India as well and conclude India’s future state in COVID-19. Sample, Technique and Methods: For this research, we have used the data from 20 January 2020 to 13 October 2020 from the World Health Organization. To forecast the COVID-19 cumulative confirmed and death cases for the United States America and India, we have used FORECAST.ETS function in Microsoft Excel. The prediction calculated till 31 December 2020. Results: By 31 Oct 2020, the forecasted cumulative cases would be 8569864 in the USA and India, it would be 8288117 approximately. By 27 Nov 2020, the forecasted cumulative cases would be 9930000 in the USA and India, it would be 9941491 approximately. By 31 Dec 2020, the forecasted cumulative cases would be 11642764 in the USA and India, it would be 12023517 approximately. So, by the last week of November, India will have more COVID-19 cases than the USA and hence India will take first place globally. Conclusion: Along with the guidelines and advisory from WHO, the government of India and the department of health is taking various initiatives to control the COVID-19 spread and maintain the lower number of COVID-19 cases. However, the number of confirmed and death rates are increasing in an uncontrolled manner in the Indian sub-continent. It is not a good symptom to see that India will take over the USA’s position in COVID-19. Unless there is an initiative which can control the spread, it is not going to be easy for India by considering the population and the forthcoming winter session. © IJCRR.