Build It and They Will Cycle: Causal Evidence from the Downtown Vancouver Comox Greenway

ABSTRACT

This study evaluates changes in cycling trips before and after the construction of an urban greenway in Vancouver, Canada. Urban cycling has gained in popularity as a healthy and environmentally friendly mode of transport. Carsharing is also on the rise globally, and it has the potential to disrupt urban mobility, including cycling and public transit. In this study, we hypothesize that cycling trips will increase after the opening of the greenway for residents living within 300 meters of the greenway compared to those living further away. We also posit that carsharing membership will have a positive impact on cycling uptake. Data were drawn from a three-year natural experiment study (2012 to 2015) of the Comox-Helmcken Greenway (“Comox Greenway”) in Vancouver. An experimental-and-control design is employed to compare pre-post differences in cycling trips for residents within 300 meters of the greenway (experimental group, n=239) and those further away (control group, n=285). The opening of the greenway resulted in a 251% increase in cycling trips for the experimental group compared to the control group. Ethnically white subjects reported 130% more cycling trips than non-white subjects, and those aged 65 and older reported 79% fewer cycling trips than younger age cohorts. Carshare membership reduced the number of cycling trips after the greenway opening. Results suggest that greenways could be an effective strategy to boost urban cycling, and that carsharing programs may have a countervailing effect on cycling. The findings support recent initiatives to reappropriate road space in urban areas for cycling and walking due to the COVID-19 pandemic.