Quality-Adjusted Life-Year Losses Averted With Every COVID-19 Infection Prevented in the United States.
Value Health
; 24(5): 632-640, 2021 05.
Article
in English
| MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1121933
ABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE:
To estimate the overall quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) gained by averting 1 coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection over the duration of the pandemic.METHODS:
A cohort-based probabilistic simulation model, informed by the latest epidemiological estimates on COVID-19 in the United States provided by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and literature review. Heterogeneity of parameter values across age group was accounted for. The main outcome studied was QALYs for the infected patient, patient's family members, and the contagion effect of the infected patient over the duration of the pandemic.RESULTS:
Averting a COVID-19 infection in a representative US resident will generate an additional 0.061 (0.016-0.129) QALYs (for the patient 0.055, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.014-0.115; for the patient's family members 0.006, 95% CI 0.002-0.015). Accounting for the contagion effect of this infection, and assuming that an effective vaccine will be available in 3 months, the total QALYs gains from averting 1 single infection is 1.51 (95% CI 0.28-4.37) accrued to patients and their family members affected by the index infection and its sequelae. These results were robust to most parameter values and were most influenced by effective reproduction number, probability of death outside the hospital, the time-varying hazard rates of hospitalization, and death in critical care.CONCLUSION:
Our findings suggest that the health benefits of averting 1 COVID-19 infection in the United States are substantial. Efforts to curb infections must weigh the costs against these benefits.Keywords
Full text:
Available
Collection:
International databases
Database:
MEDLINE
Main subject:
Preventive Medicine
/
Health Care Costs
/
Quality-Adjusted Life Years
/
COVID-19
Type of study:
Cohort study
/
Observational study
/
Prognostic study
/
Reviews
Topics:
Long Covid
/
Vaccines
Limits:
Humans
Country/Region as subject:
North America
Language:
English
Journal:
Value Health
Journal subject:
Pharmacology
Year:
2021
Document Type:
Article
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