Modeling of fractional-order COVID-19 epidemic model with quarantine and social distancing.

ABSTRACT

Different countries of the world are facing a serious pandemic of corona virus disease (COVID-19). One of the most typical treatments for COVID-19 is social distancing, which includes lockdown; it will help to decrease the number of contacts for undiagnosed individuals. The main aim of this article is to construct and evaluate a fractional-order COVID-19 epidemic model with quarantine and social distancing. Laplace homotopy analysis method is used for a system of fractional differential equation (FDEs) with Caputo and Atangana-Baleanu-Caputo (ABC) fractional derivative. By applying the ABC and Caputo derivative, the numerical solution for fractional-order COVID-19 epidemic model is achieved. The uniqueness and existence of the solution is checked by Picard-Lindelof's method. The proposed fractional model is demonstrated by numerical simulation which is useful for the government to control the spread of disease in a practical way.