Markers of coagulation and hemostatic activation identify COVID-19 patients at high risk for thrombotic events

ABSTRACT

Introduction: COVID-19 has been associated with venous and arterial thrombotic complications. The objective of our study was to determine whether markers of coagulation and hemostatic activation (MOCHA) on admission could identify COVID-19 patients at risk for thrombotic events. Methods: COVID-19 patients admitted to a tertiary academic healthcare system from April 3, 2020 to July 31, 2020 underwent admission testing of MOCHA profile parameters (plasma d-dimer, prothrombin fragment 1.2, thrombin-antithrombin complex, and fibrin monomer). For this analysis we excluded patients on outpatient anticoagulation therapy preceding admission. Prespecified endpoints monitored during hospitalization included deep vein thrombosis, pulmonary embolism, myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke and access line thrombosis. Results: During the study period, 276 patients were included in the analysis cohort (mean age 59 ± 6.3 years, 47% female, 83% non-white race). Arterial and venous thrombotic events occurred in 43 (16%) patients (see Table). Each coagulation marker was independently associated with the composite endpoint (p<0.05). Admission MOCHA with ≥ 2 abnormalities was associated with the composite endpoint (OR 3.1, 95% CI 1.2-8.3), ICU admission (OR 3.2, 95% CI 1.8-5.5) and intubation (OR 2.8, 95% CI 1.5-5.5). Admission MOCHA with < 2 abnormalities (26% of the cohort) had sensitivity of 88% and a negative predictive value of 93% for an in-hospital endpoint. Conclusion: Admission MOCHA with ≥ 2 abnormalities identified COVID-19 patients at risk for a thrombotic event, ICU admission and intubation while < 2 abnormalities identified a subgroup of patients who were at low risk for thrombotic events. Our results suggest that an admission MOCHA profile can be useful to risk stratify COVID-19 patients. Further studies are needed to determine whether an admission MOCHA profile can guide anticoagulation therapy and improve overall clinical outcomes.(Figure Presented).