Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation in critically ill covid-19 patients and predictors of mortality: The aachen experience

ABSTRACT

The role of extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) in the management of critically ill COVID-19patients remains unclear. Our study aims to analyze the outcomes and risk factors from patients treated with ECMO. Methods: This retrospective, single-center study includes seventeen COVID-19 patients treated with ECMO. Univariate andmultivariate parametric survival regression identified predictors of survival. Result: Nine patients (53%) were successfully weaned from ECMO and discharged. The incidence of in-hospital mortalitywas 47%. In a univariate analysis, only four out of 83 pre-ECMO variables were significantly different;IL-6, PCT, and NT-proBNP were significantly higher in non-survivors compared with survivors. The Respiratory Extracorporeal MembraneOxygenation Survival Prediction (RESP) score was significantly lower in survivors. After a multivariate parametric survivalregression, IL-6, NT-proBNP and RESP scores remained significant independent predictors, with hazard ratios (HR) of 1.069[95% CI 0.986-1.160], p = 0.016 1.001 [95% CI 1.000-1.001], p = 0.012;and 0.843 [95% CI 0.564-1.260], p = 0.040,respectively. A prediction model consisting of IL-6, NT-proBNP, and RESP score showed an area under the curve (AUC) of0.87, with a sensitivity of 87.5% and specificity of 77.8%, compared with an AUC of 0.79 for the RESP score alone. Conclusion: The present study suggests that ECMO is a potentially lifesaving treatment for select critically ill COVID-19patients. Considering IL-6 and NT-per-BNP, in addition to the RESP score, may enhance outcome predictions.