Distribution of incubation periods of COVID-19 in the Canadian context.
Sci Rep
; 11(1): 12569, 2021 06 15.
Article
in English
| MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1270672
ABSTRACT
We propose a novel model based on a set of coupled delay differential equations with fourteen delays in order to accurately estimate the incubation period of COVID-19, employing publicly available data of confirmed corona cases. In this goal, we separate the total cases into fourteen groups for the corresponding fourteen incubation periods. The estimated mean incubation period we obtain is 6.74 days (95% Confidence Interval(CI) 6.35 to 7.13), and the 90th percentile is 11.64 days (95% CI 11.22 to 12.17), corresponding to a good agreement with statistical supported studies. This model provides an almost zero-cost computational complexity to estimate the incubation period.
Full text:
Available
Collection:
International databases
Database:
MEDLINE
Main subject:
Infectious Disease Incubation Period
/
COVID-19
Type of study:
Experimental Studies
/
Observational study
/
Randomized controlled trials
Limits:
Humans
Country/Region as subject:
North America
Language:
English
Journal:
Sci Rep
Year:
2021
Document Type:
Article
Affiliation country:
S41598-021-91834-8
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