Bull and bear markets during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Financ Res Lett
; 42: 102091, 2021 Oct.
Article
in English
| MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1275318
ABSTRACT
The COVID-19 pandemic has caused severe disruption worldwide. We analyze the aggregate U.S. stock market during this period, including implications for both short and long-horizon investors. We identify bull and bear market regimes including their bull correction and bear rally components, demonstrate our model's performance in capturing periods of significant regime change, and provide weekly forecasts that improve risk management and investment decisions. An investment strategy that uses out-of-sample forecasts for market states outperforms a buy and hold strategy during the pandemic by a wide margin, both in terms of annualized returns and Sharpe ratios.
Full text:
Available
Collection:
International databases
Database:
MEDLINE
Type of study:
Prognostic study
Language:
English
Journal:
Financ Res Lett
Year:
2021
Document Type:
Article
Affiliation country:
J.frl.2021.102091
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