The spreading of Covid-19 in Mexico: A diffusional approach.
Results Phys
; 27: 104555, 2021 Aug.
Article
in English
| MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1313418
ABSTRACT
In this work, we analyze the spreading of Covid-19 in Mexico using the spatial SEIRD epidemiologic model. We use the information of the 32 regions (States) that conform the country, such as population density, verified infected cases, and deaths in each State. We extend the SEIRD compartmental epidemiologic with diffusion mechanisms in the exposed and susceptible populations. We use the Fickian law with the diffusion coefficient proportional to the population density to encompass the diffusion effects. The numerical results suggest that the epidemiologic model demands time-dependent parameters to incorporate non-monotonous behavior in the actual data in the global dynamic. The diffusional model proposed in this work has great potential in predicting the virus spreading on different scales, i.e., local, national, and between countries, since the complete reduction in people mobility is impossible.
Full text:
Available
Collection:
International databases
Database:
MEDLINE
Type of study:
Prognostic study
Country/Region as subject:
Mexico
Language:
English
Journal:
Results Phys
Year:
2021
Document Type:
Article
Affiliation country:
J.rinp.2021.104555
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