Modeling SF-6D Health Utilities: Is Bayesian Approach Appropriate?

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Valuation studies of preference-based health measures like SF6D have been conducted in many countries. However, the cost of conducting such studies in countries with small populations or low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) can be prohibitive. There is potential to use results from readily available countries' valuations to produce better valuation estimates. METHODS: Data from Lebanon and UK SF-6D value sets were analyzed, where values for 49 and 249 health states were extracted from samples of Lebanon and UK populations, respectively, using standard gamble techniques. A nonparametric Bayesian model was used to estimate a Lebanon value set using the UK data as informative priors. The resulting estimates were then compared to a Lebanon value set obtained using Lebanon data by itself via various prediction criterions. RESULTS: The findings permit the UK evidence to contribute potential prior information to the Lebanon analysis by producing more precise valuation estimates than analyzing Lebanon data only under all criterions used. CONCLUSIONS: The positive findings suggest that existing valuation studies can be merged with a small valuation set in another country to produce value sets, thereby making own country value sets more attainable for LMICs.