Stability and bifurcation analysis of SIQR for the COVID-19 epidemic model with time delay.
Math Biosci Eng
; 18(5): 5505-5524, 2021 06 21.
Article
in English
| MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1389596
ABSTRACT
Based on the SIQR model, we consider the influence of time delay from infection to isolation and present a delayed differential equation (DDE) according to the characteristics of the COVID-19 epidemic phenomenon. First, we consider the existence and stability of equilibria in the above delayed SIQR model. Second, we analyze the existence of Hopf bifurcations associated with two equilibria, and we verify that Hopf bifurcations occur as delays crossing some critical values. Then, we derive the normal form for Hopf bifurcation by using the multiple time scales method for determining the stability and direction of bifurcation periodic solutions. Finally, numerical simulations are carried out to verify the analytic results.
Keywords
Full text:
Available
Collection:
International databases
Database:
MEDLINE
Main subject:
Epidemics
/
COVID-19
Limits:
Humans
Language:
English
Journal:
Math Biosci Eng
Year:
2021
Document Type:
Article
Affiliation country:
Mbe.2021278
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