A simple model for control of COVID-19 infections on an urban campus.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A
; 118(36)2021 09 07.
Article
in English
| MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1392994
ABSTRACT
A customized susceptible, exposed, infected, and recovered compartmental model is presented for describing the control of asymptomatic spread of COVID-19 infections on a residential, urban college campus embedded in a large urban community by using public health protocols, founded on surveillance testing, contact tracing, isolation, and quarantine. Analysis in the limit of low infection rates-a necessary condition for successful operation of the campus-yields expressions for controlling the infection and understanding the dynamics of infection spread. The number of expected cases on campus is proportional to the exogenous infection rate in the community and is decreased by more frequent testing and effective contact tracing. Simple expressions are presented for the dynamics of superspreader events and the impact of partial vaccination. The model results compare well with residential data from Boston University's undergraduate population for fall 2020.
Keywords
Full text:
Available
Collection:
International databases
Database:
MEDLINE
Main subject:
Universities
/
Infection Control
/
SARS-CoV-2
/
COVID-19
Type of study:
Observational study
Topics:
Vaccines
Limits:
Humans
Country/Region as subject:
North America
Language:
English
Year:
2021
Document Type:
Article
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