Intensive care unit (icu) escalation more likely among liver transplant (lt) recipients with sarscov-2 compared to patients with decompensated cirrhosis

ABSTRACT

Background: A number of factors can inform ICU escalation decisions, including the likelihood of survival and patient co-morbidities. This study examined prior liver transplant (LT) recipients and patients with chronic liver disease (CLD) diagnosed with SARS-CoV-2, and compared the rate of ICU admission and decline amongst those who were sick enough to require ICU care. Methods: Patient data from 12 March 2020 to 6 May 2021 was extracted using two international reporting registries (SECURE-Liver and COVID-Hep). Patients had a history of LT or CLD, laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2, and were deemed ill enough to require ICU care. Patients were either admitted to the ICU, or declined admission due to inadequate capacity or because ICU escalation was deemed inappropriate. We compared patient characteristics by ICU decline, and compared ICU decline rates by LT and CLD categories with unadjusted and multivariable logistic regression. Results: 173 LT recipients were admitted to the hospital with SARS-CoV-2 (transplant year 1986-2020, median age 63, 74% male), and 66 (38.2%) were deemed unwell enough to require ICU care. Among those sick enough to require ICU care, 55 (83.3%) were admitted to the ICU and 11 (16.7%) were declined admission. Compared to those admitted to the ICU, patients declined ICU admission were significantly older (median 69 yrs vs 62 yrs, p=0.01) but otherwise similar in other characteristics. ICU decline rates in prior LT recipients (16.7%) were similar to patients with non-cirrhotic CLD (16.1%, p=0.96), but substantially lower than patients with Child A cirrhosis (31.8%, p=0.03), Child B cirrhosis (37.1%, p=0.006) and Child C cirrhosis (38.7%, p=0.004). Differences in ICU decline between LT recipients and Child B or C cirrhosis remained statistically significant after adjustment for age, sex and major co-morbidities. Among patients admitted to the ICU, mortality was higher in LT recipients compared to non-cirrhotic CLD (OR 0.31, 95% CI 0.14-0.71) but lower in LT recipients compared to Child C cirrhosis (OR 3.85, 95% CI 1.47-10.11) after adjustment for age, sex and co-morbidities (see Figure 1). Conclusion: ICU decline was less likely in LT recipients compared to patients with decompensated cirrhosis. LT recipients may be seen as gaining more benefit from ICU care, given the higher mortality amongst patients with decompensated cirrhosis. This is in line with prior data showing decompensated cirrhosis is a predictor of higher mortality in patients with SARS-CoV-2. Moreover, large investment of resources in LT recipients may make them more likely to be admitted to the ICU.