Cycle threshold values in RT-PCR to determine dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 viral load: An approach to reduce the isolation period for COVID-19 patients.

ABSTRACT

Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) has affected all inhabited continents, and India is currently experiencing a devastating second wave of coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19). Here, we examined the duration of clearance of SARS-CoV-2 in respiratory samples from 207 infected cases by real-time reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR). A substantial proportion of COVID-19 positive cases with cycle threshold (Ct) values more than or equal to 31 (45.7%) were subsequently tested negative for SARS-CoV-2 RNA within 7 days of initial detection of the viral load. A total of 60% of all the patients with COVID-19, irrespective of their Ct values, cleared SARS-CoV-2 RNA within 14 days of the initial detection. Longitudinal assessment of RT-PCR test results in individuals requiring 15-30 days to clear SARS-CoV-2 RNA showed a significant reduction of the viral load in samples with high or intermediate viral loads (Ct values ≤ 25 and between 26 and 30, respectively) but the follow-up group with low viral RNA (Ct values ≥ 31) exhibited a stable viral load. Together, these results suggest that COVID-19 positive cases with Ct values more than or equal to 31 require reduced duration to clear SARS-CoV-2, and thus, a shorter isolation period for this group might be considered to facilitate adequate space in the COVID Care Centres and reduce the burden on healthcare infrastructure.