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Increased transmissibility of SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7 by age and viral load.
Lyngse, Frederik Plesner; Mølbak, Kåre; Skov, Robert Leo; Christiansen, Lasse Engbo; Mortensen, Laust Hvas; Albertsen, Mads; Møller, Camilla Holten; Krause, Tyra Grove; Rasmussen, Morten; Michaelsen, Thomas Yssing; Voldstedlund, Marianne; Fonager, Jannik; Steenhard, Nina; Kirkeby, Carsten Thure.
  • Lyngse FP; Department of Economics & Center for Economic Behaviour and Inequality, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark. fpl@econ.ku.dk.
  • Mølbak K; Danish Ministry of Health, Copenhagen, Denmark. fpl@econ.ku.dk.
  • Skov RL; Statens Serum Institut, Copenhagen, Denmark. fpl@econ.ku.dk.
  • Christiansen LE; Statens Serum Institut, Copenhagen, Denmark.
  • Mortensen LH; Department of Veterinary and Animal Sciences, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.
  • Albertsen M; Statens Serum Institut, Copenhagen, Denmark.
  • Møller CH; DTU Compute, Lyngby, Denmark.
  • Krause TG; Statistics Denmark, Copenhagen, Denmark.
  • Rasmussen M; Department of Public Health, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.
  • Michaelsen TY; Department of Chemistry and Bioscience, Aalborg University, Aalborg, Denmark.
  • Voldstedlund M; Statens Serum Institut, Copenhagen, Denmark.
  • Fonager J; Statens Serum Institut, Copenhagen, Denmark.
  • Steenhard N; Statens Serum Institut, Copenhagen, Denmark.
  • Kirkeby CT; Statens Serum Institut, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Nat Commun ; 12(1): 7251, 2021 12 13.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1569250
ABSTRACT
New lineages of SARS-CoV-2 are of potential concern due to higher transmissibility, risk of severe outcomes, and/or escape from neutralizing antibodies. Lineage B.1.1.7 (the Alpha variant) became dominant in early 2021, but the association between transmissibility and risk factors, such as age of primary case and viral load remains poorly understood. Here, we used comprehensive administrative data from Denmark, comprising the full population (January 11 to February 7, 2021), to estimate household transmissibility. This study included 5,241 households with primary cases; 808 were infected with lineage B.1.1.7 and 4,433 with other lineages. Here, we report an attack rate of 38% in households with a primary case infected with B.1.1.7 and 27% in households with other lineages. Primary cases infected with B.1.1.7 had an increased transmissibility of 1.5-1.7 times that of primary cases infected with other lineages. The increased transmissibility of B.1.1.7 was multiplicative across age and viral load.
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Full text: Available Collection: International databases Database: MEDLINE Main subject: Age Factors / Viral Load / SARS-CoV-2 / COVID-19 Type of study: Observational study / Prognostic study Topics: Variants Limits: Adolescent / Adult / Aged / Child / Child, preschool / Female / Humans / Infant / Male / Middle aged Country/Region as subject: Europa Language: English Journal: Nat Commun Journal subject: Biology / Science Year: 2021 Document Type: Article Affiliation country: S41467-021-27202-x

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Full text: Available Collection: International databases Database: MEDLINE Main subject: Age Factors / Viral Load / SARS-CoV-2 / COVID-19 Type of study: Observational study / Prognostic study Topics: Variants Limits: Adolescent / Adult / Aged / Child / Child, preschool / Female / Humans / Infant / Male / Middle aged Country/Region as subject: Europa Language: English Journal: Nat Commun Journal subject: Biology / Science Year: 2021 Document Type: Article Affiliation country: S41467-021-27202-x