Does flattening the curve make a difference? An investigation of the COVID-19 pandemic based on an SIR model
International Review of Economics & Finance
; 2022.
Article
in English
| ScienceDirect | ID: covidwho-1702149
ABSTRACT
We use a susceptible-infective-removed (SIR) model to examine the impacts of different isolation measures to combat the COVID-19 pandemic. The model predicts that strong isolation measures in the early stage of the pandemic can not only delay the time for the number of infections and deaths to reach the peak but also greatly reduce the cumulative number of infections and deaths. We verify the model predictions by using the simulation and the data of the COVID-19 cases. The results are independent of the joint distribution of the fatality rate and the initial number of active cases.
Full text:
Available
Collection:
Databases of international organizations
Database:
ScienceDirect
Language:
English
Journal:
International Review of Economics & Finance
Year:
2022
Document Type:
Article
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