Tourism–Growth Nexus in the Presence of Instability
Sustainability
; 14(4):2170, 2022.
Article
in English
| ProQuest Central | ID: covidwho-1715689
ABSTRACT
This paper contributes to the tourism–growth literature by applying the new vector autoregressive-based Granger causality test in the presence of instability to reassess the Granger causality between Hong Kong’s tourism and economic growth. The results of the traditional and recursive Granger causality test under the VAR framework show that the tourism-led economic growth hypothesis (TLEGH) and the economy-driven tourism growth hypothesis (EDTGH) are both unstable in Hong Kong. The results of the vector autoregressive-based Granger causality test in the presence of instability generally support bidirectional causality between tourism and economic growth. However, the relationship between tourism and economic growth is vulnerable to sudden major political incidents, public health incidents, and financial crises. Among these incidents and crises, political events have long-term effects on the relationship between Hong Kong’s tourism and economic growth. In contrast, economic policies, financial crises, and public health emergencies have short-term impacts on the relationship.
Environmental Studies; tourism; economic growth; instability; robust Granger causality test; Public health; Emergencies; Long-term effects; Causality; Economic development; International organizations; Time series; Economics; COVID-19; Hypotheses; Sustainability; Gross Domestic Product--GDP; Stability; Literature reviews; Coronaviruses; Economic policy; Parameter estimation; Hong Kong; Egypt
Full text:
Available
Collection:
Databases of international organizations
Database:
ProQuest Central
Language:
English
Journal:
Sustainability
Year:
2022
Document Type:
Article
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