Relating Design Thinking Framework in Predicting the Spread of COVID in Tamilnadu Using ARIMA

ABSTRACT

Spread of “COVID” has taken over life of several people all around the world. In initial stages, it was gradually affecting the humans and as days goes on it started to drastically affect several people. This is because it spreads from one person to others easily. In this pandemic situation, in order to manage this pandemic situation, we must know the rate at which the infection gets spread and the analysis can be done with the pervious confirmed and death cases with the help of data sets available in web resources. ARIMA (Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average) model can be used in forecasting the spread of COVID with the previous data sets extracted from Kaggle. Here have considered the data from March 2020 to June 2021 and predicted the COVID cases for the next one month July 2021. In specific, it has concentrated towards one particular state Tamilnadu from INDIA. © 2022, Springer Nature Switzerland AG.